SoFla. Definite Hit

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StJoe
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SoFla. Definite Hit

#1 Postby StJoe » Wed Sep 01, 2004 1:49 pm

I don't know about all the models and the scientific stuff, but I have some serious gut feelings about West Palm...Whaddya think? :?: :(
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#2 Postby Canelaw99 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 1:51 pm

I've had a gut feeling about a Dade/Broward hit since it started, personally.
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#3 Postby StJoe » Wed Sep 01, 2004 1:54 pm

Maybe, but we are under way for gov. closings and school release by noon! Definetely something to think about!
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#4 Postby Josephine96 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 1:54 pm

West Palm Beach maybe and then through the peninsula..
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#5 Postby chris_fit » Wed Sep 01, 2004 1:55 pm

It's RIGHT ON TRACK... and has been... track unfortunately leads it to my patio :(
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#6 Postby c5Camille » Wed Sep 01, 2004 1:56 pm

it's actually a little south of track...
and headed a little south of forcast track...
Last edited by c5Camille on Wed Sep 01, 2004 1:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#7 Postby StJoe » Wed Sep 01, 2004 1:57 pm

Definetly through the peninsula after. Poor people in Ft. Myers and Punta Gorda.
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#8 Postby rtd2 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 1:57 pm

EVERYBODY all ready knows what I THINK....S.FLA then GOMEX!
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#9 Postby NFLnut » Wed Sep 01, 2004 1:58 pm

I think West Palm is too far north. The boys over at NHC are in denial and smoking crack. Ther consensus model is about to fail them again. This thing appears, to my relatively noobie Hurricane prognosticator eyes, to be going too fast and almost too straight west to hit anything other than Miami/Homestead. As bad as I feel for those who lived through Andrew 12 years ago, this thing appears to be becoming a repeat.

My prayers are with everyone there. Of course, I live in Orlando, and the crack-smokers at the NHC have me getting the NE edge for ~18-24 hours. I just got the NE edge of Charley and have MAJOR damage already. So did my mom. I feel sick to my stomach right now, but I'm thinking that the LBAR is the model to stick with. I don't see how it's going to turn N or NW.
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#10 Postby Canelaw99 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 2:00 pm

I agree with ya NFL...that's been my gut since she was born so many days ago - eek...
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#11 Postby StJoe » Wed Sep 01, 2004 2:00 pm

Now ordering evacuations for 300,000+ in Palm Beach County. I've been here for 16 years and always wanted to see it, but I am thinking twice on this one!
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#12 Postby CaptinCrunch » Wed Sep 01, 2004 2:01 pm

AS stated before:

"Frances will not make that forecasted NW turn, she will continue to track W to a slight N of W track and at present speed landfall will be between W Palm Beach and Fort Lauderdale around 12pm Friday as a CAT 5.

I did have Frances making landfall around Miami but for that to happen she will need to move due west for at least 4 to 6 hrs over the next 24 hours.

As far as the GOM I'm looking at MS for 2nd landfall as a strong Cat 3 or weak Cat 4."
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#13 Postby Guest » Wed Sep 01, 2004 2:02 pm

I think its gonna be the whole states event including South Fla.I think NHC is playing it safe because of what happened with Charley even that was over blown because nothing of their fault really happened with Charley.I believe @ the end where the final line is drawn that is generally where the storm will be going give or take 10 or 20 miles.They do not want to have the final forecasts aimed @ one place & then for it to hit another.
Last edited by Guest on Wed Sep 01, 2004 2:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#14 Postby StJoe » Wed Sep 01, 2004 2:03 pm

Talking on the radio and the weather guys starting to roll up their sleeves! Uh, oh!
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#15 Postby StJoe » Wed Sep 01, 2004 2:07 pm

Local weather guy says watches going up as early as 5:00 today. Do u think I need to get supplies yet? LOL
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#16 Postby RonStallcup » Wed Sep 01, 2004 2:39 pm

I am a reporter at the Pensacola News Journal. I am doing a story about weather chat rooms.
Any of you up for an interview? Call me at work 1800 288 2021 ext. 680 0r 850 435 8680.

I can also interview you via the message board.
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#17 Postby T'Bonz » Wed Sep 01, 2004 5:30 pm

Ugh....this will be my second hurricane, the first being Andrew.

Heck of a way to spend Labor Day weekend.
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#18 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 01, 2004 5:35 pm

StJoe wrote:Local weather guy says watches going up as early as 5:00 today. Do u think I need to get supplies yet? LOL


I'm 98% certain they are going up at 11pm, and will probably be for a large area. Yes... you should begin to prepare now for this. DO NOT WAIT UNTIL IT'S TOO LATE!!!
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