SoFla. Definite Hit
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SoFla. Definite Hit
I don't know about all the models and the scientific stuff, but I have some serious gut feelings about West Palm...Whaddya think?

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c5Camille
I think West Palm is too far north. The boys over at NHC are in denial and smoking crack. Ther consensus model is about to fail them again. This thing appears, to my relatively noobie Hurricane prognosticator eyes, to be going too fast and almost too straight west to hit anything other than Miami/Homestead. As bad as I feel for those who lived through Andrew 12 years ago, this thing appears to be becoming a repeat.
My prayers are with everyone there. Of course, I live in Orlando, and the crack-smokers at the NHC have me getting the NE edge for ~18-24 hours. I just got the NE edge of Charley and have MAJOR damage already. So did my mom. I feel sick to my stomach right now, but I'm thinking that the LBAR is the model to stick with. I don't see how it's going to turn N or NW.
My prayers are with everyone there. Of course, I live in Orlando, and the crack-smokers at the NHC have me getting the NE edge for ~18-24 hours. I just got the NE edge of Charley and have MAJOR damage already. So did my mom. I feel sick to my stomach right now, but I'm thinking that the LBAR is the model to stick with. I don't see how it's going to turn N or NW.
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- CaptinCrunch
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AS stated before:
"Frances will not make that forecasted NW turn, she will continue to track W to a slight N of W track and at present speed landfall will be between W Palm Beach and Fort Lauderdale around 12pm Friday as a CAT 5.
I did have Frances making landfall around Miami but for that to happen she will need to move due west for at least 4 to 6 hrs over the next 24 hours.
As far as the GOM I'm looking at MS for 2nd landfall as a strong Cat 3 or weak Cat 4."
"Frances will not make that forecasted NW turn, she will continue to track W to a slight N of W track and at present speed landfall will be between W Palm Beach and Fort Lauderdale around 12pm Friday as a CAT 5.
I did have Frances making landfall around Miami but for that to happen she will need to move due west for at least 4 to 6 hrs over the next 24 hours.
As far as the GOM I'm looking at MS for 2nd landfall as a strong Cat 3 or weak Cat 4."
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Guest
I think its gonna be the whole states event including South Fla.I think NHC is playing it safe because of what happened with Charley even that was over blown because nothing of their fault really happened with Charley.I believe @ the end where the final line is drawn that is generally where the storm will be going give or take 10 or 20 miles.They do not want to have the final forecasts aimed @ one place & then for it to hit another.
Last edited by Guest on Wed Sep 01, 2004 2:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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RonStallcup
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Reporter
I am a reporter at the Pensacola News Journal. I am doing a story about weather chat rooms.
Any of you up for an interview? Call me at work 1800 288 2021 ext. 680 0r 850 435 8680.
I can also interview you via the message board.
Any of you up for an interview? Call me at work 1800 288 2021 ext. 680 0r 850 435 8680.
I can also interview you via the message board.
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Brent
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StJoe wrote:Local weather guy says watches going up as early as 5:00 today. Do u think I need to get supplies yet? LOL
I'm 98% certain they are going up at 11pm, and will probably be for a large area. Yes... you should begin to prepare now for this. DO NOT WAIT UNTIL IT'S TOO LATE!!!
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