12 UTC UKMET=A little more north track than last run

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cycloneye
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12 UTC UKMET=A little more north track than last run

#1 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 01, 2004 1:10 pm

HURRICANE FRANCES ANALYSED POSITION : 21.4N 69.3W



ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062004



VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY

-------------- -------- -------- --------

12UTC 01.09.2004 21.4N 69.3W INTENSE

00UTC 02.09.2004 22.7N 71.5W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE

12UTC 02.09.2004 23.9N 73.4W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

00UTC 03.09.2004 25.4N 75.6W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE

12UTC 03.09.2004 26.4N 77.8W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE

00UTC 04.09.2004 27.8N 79.3W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY

12UTC 04.09.2004 28.3N 80.1W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE

00UTC 05.09.2004 28.6N 81.3W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE

12UTC 05.09.2004 29.0N 82.4W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

00UTC 06.09.2004 29.7N 84.0W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

12UTC 06.09.2004 30.5N 85.6W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

00UTC 07.09.2004 32.0N 86.9W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY

12UTC 07.09.2004 33.0N 87.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
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Rainband

#2 Postby Rainband » Wed Sep 01, 2004 1:14 pm

12UTC 05.09.2004 29.0N 82.4W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

Thats right near me :( 28.3 -82.71 (Elev. 3 ft)
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Josephine96

#3 Postby Josephine96 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 1:15 pm

In lehman's terms again please lol
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#4 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 01, 2004 1:17 pm

Josephine96 wrote:In lehman's terms again please lol


In simple terms this is only one model that shows this track but what you have to look for is what in reallity the hurricane is doing in terms of the track.The models are used as a guidance only.
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#5 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 01, 2004 1:32 pm

UKMET takes it inland directly over Cape Canaveral.
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lurkerinthemidst
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#6 Postby lurkerinthemidst » Wed Sep 01, 2004 1:36 pm

Rainband I am in Hudson. I was gone today until about 15 minutes ago and came back to chaos. I know we weren't " out og the woods" but local mets I thought were really making light of this and said we would get light TS winds I thought. Have I misunderstood all this time?

So I guess what I am asking is I live in a mobile home. I just need to get out no matter what ?
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#7 Postby soonertwister » Wed Sep 01, 2004 1:53 pm

I would love it if someone had a graphic like the NHC's showing track, but instead of showing a line, showing instead the path of strongest winds, hurricane force winds, and tropical storm force winds. I bet a bunch of people would be totally shocked at what they saw.
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jacindc
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#8 Postby jacindc » Wed Sep 01, 2004 1:56 pm

soonertwister wrote:I would love it if someone had a graphic like the NHC's showing track, but instead of showing a line, showing instead the path of strongest winds, hurricane force winds, and tropical storm force winds. I bet a bunch of people would be totally shocked at what they saw.


That's a great idea, much more useful (and enlightening) than a point on a map.
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Josephine96

#9 Postby Josephine96 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 1:57 pm

I was in my local Wal Mart a little over an hour ago and it was a mad house in there..
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