Your opinion...AT THIS POINT

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#21 Postby Guest » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:20 am

I sure aint boarding up until it comes in between the bahama islands. Ive seen too many bad calls.
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Dmetal81
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#22 Postby Dmetal81 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:20 am

Brevard County
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Pebbles
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#23 Postby Pebbles » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:20 am

Between Miami and the Cape
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x-y-no
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#24 Postby x-y-no » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:21 am

CaptinCrunch wrote:With the NE ridge still holding strong Frances will not make that forecasted NW turn, she will continue to track W to a slight N of W track and at present speed landfall will be between W Palm Beach and Fort Lauderdale around 12pm Friday as a CAT 5.

I did have Frances making landfall around Miami but for that to happen she will need to move due west for at least 4 to 6 hrs over the next 24 hours.

As far as the GOM I'm looking at MS for 2nd landfall as a strong Cat 3 or weak Cat 4.



Not sure why you say that. The extrapolation of her last 12 hours course is into the upper Keys.
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AL Chili Pepper
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#25 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:22 am

I've been saying Melbourne/Cocoa Beach/Merritt Island area for over 2 days now. I'll hold my cards for now, but might start thinking further south if she doesn't start gaining some latitude.
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#26 Postby CFL » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:23 am

West Palm Beach
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Novacane
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#27 Postby Novacane » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:24 am

Melbourne....no, wait! Savannah....no, Wilmington....no, Charleston!....no, Miami....no, the Keys!

I'll stick with Melbourne and pray it miraculously misses everyone.
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#28 Postby GalvestonDuck » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:26 am

Fort Pierce/Port St. Lucie area
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#29 Postby SCHawkFan » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:28 am

GA/FL border.
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#30 Postby golter » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:29 am

[quote="CaptinCrunch"]With the NE ridge still holding strong Frances will not make that forecasted NW turn, she will continue to track W to a slight N of W track and at present speed landfall will be between W Palm Beach and Fort Lauderdale around 12pm Friday as a CAT 5.

Its been a pure WNW (292) for 6 hours now. Your claiming 275. Thats roughly 200 miles south of current track in 36 hours.
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#31 Postby rtd2 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:38 am

qoute "Its been a pure WNW (292) for 6 hours now"






WHAT? guess I shouldnt read those votex messages cause I'm confused! :oops:
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#32 Postby 4cast » Wed Sep 01, 2004 12:33 pm

JUPITER/STUART
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#33 Postby Hou~TX~Mama » Wed Sep 01, 2004 12:35 pm

I say... a direct hit to Boca Raton, cross into the Gulf, another hit on Pensacola.
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#34 Postby skysummit » Wed Sep 01, 2004 12:37 pm

While it's looking like Miami then the GOMEX to me, I'm going to have confidence in the pros and say near Jacksonville.
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#35 Postby Canelaw99 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 12:38 pm

I say it's going to be a Dade/Broward County storm...I've said that since day 1...that's my story and I'm stickin' to it :lol:
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#36 Postby AlabamaDave » Wed Sep 01, 2004 12:45 pm

I'm going to call it as Ft. Lauderdale - West Palm Beach. Crossing into the Gulf, with a second landfall in the Western Florida Panhandle.

This storm is so low in latitude. It will have to turn very sharply to make landfall anywhere above Cape Canaveral.

This is a nightmare scenario. A Cat-4 plowing into densely populated Broward and Palm Beach Counties and crossing Florida to potentially impact the same areas that were devastated by Charley. It is hard to believe that this is really happening.
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#37 Postby Patrick99 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 12:46 pm

Canelaw99 wrote:I say it's going to be a Dade/Broward County storm...I've said that since day 1...that's my story and I'm stickin' to it :lol:


I have been wavering back and forth on this. On some loops it looks like it will smack us, on some loops it looks like it won't. I guess I don't have much of a clue at this time. To me, I don't see what's going to turn it that far north, but maybe I'm missing something. It seems to me that whatever "weakness" was there has been filled.
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#38 Postby NFLnut » Wed Sep 01, 2004 12:59 pm

Novacane wrote:Melbourne....no, wait! Savannah....no, Wilmington....no, Charleston!....no, Miami....no, the Keys!

I'll stick with Melbourne and pray it miraculously misses everyone.


If it hits Melbourne and goes through Orlando as the NHC is sticking with for now, it won't 'miss everyone!' The population through that track is immense and it is an area which just got hit HARD by Charley. At least Miami/Ft Lauderdale doesn't have tens of thousands of heavily damaged homes already.
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#39 Postby wsquared77 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 1:00 pm

WPB
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Josephine96

#40 Postby Josephine96 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 1:06 pm

Melbourne
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