06Z ETA

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dhweather
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06Z ETA

#1 Postby dhweather » Wed Sep 01, 2004 9:33 am

Interesting.


http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/tpm/emchurr/tcgen/
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logybogy

#2 Postby logybogy » Wed Sep 01, 2004 9:35 am

What is interesting? Can you post a link to a picture?
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#3 Postby dhweather » Wed Sep 01, 2004 9:39 am

Let's see if this works:

http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/tpm/em ... single.gif
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Canelaw99
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Link works

#4 Postby Canelaw99 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 9:41 am

:eek: :eek: :eek:

Uh, yeah...the link works - :eek:
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#5 Postby chris_fit » Wed Sep 01, 2004 9:41 am

I doubt that
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#6 Postby btsgmdad » Wed Sep 01, 2004 9:41 am

Now that scenario looks to lead to the ultimate nightmare, Miami and New Orleans. :(
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#7 Postby dhweather » Wed Sep 01, 2004 9:53 am

It is a bad scenario - I personally don't think she'll stay that far south, but it shows the extremes.
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#8 Postby PurdueWx80 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 9:57 am

12Z Eta going to South Florida w/i 72 hours.
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#9 Postby skysummit » Wed Sep 01, 2004 9:59 am

God, I hope not that far south!
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#10 Postby dhweather » Wed Sep 01, 2004 10:01 am

I've never had much faith in the ETA personally,
but it has performed pretty well with Frances.
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#11 Postby rtd2 » Wed Sep 01, 2004 10:02 am

quote " It is a bad scenario - I personally don't think she'll stay that far south, but it shows the extremes."







Not only will she stay that far south she may may go through keys in route to the GOMEX!
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#12 Postby chris_fit » Wed Sep 01, 2004 10:06 am

Very unlikely of it going to the keys at this point.... That ridge would have to shift or strengthen a lot, like now. Every second it goes more north the chances of hitting the keys are diminished.
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#13 Postby Stormcenter » Wed Sep 01, 2004 10:10 am

chris_fit wrote:Very unlikely of it going to the keys at this point.... That ridge would have to shift or strengthen a lot, like now. Every second it goes more north the chances of hitting the keys are diminished.


Chris_fit I see what your saying but the problem is Frances is still headed
w to wnw a pretty good clip. She needs to start slowing down and turn
more northward.
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