South Carolina residents

[hurricane_lover]

Don't let you're gaurd down, as I still see Francis making that Northern job and heading up the coast , making landfall in SC.

[charleston_hugo_veteran]

My local met said the same thing he said it will slow down and that will effect the track, how much it effects is still unknown. He also said Friday we will know for sure!

[HollynLA]

Yep, and after it hits SC, it will skirt the Alaskan coast

[jlauderdal]

Don't let you're gaurd down, as I still see Francis making that Northern job and heading up the coast , making landfall in SC.

you sure about that. you have a digging trough to the west that will building the ridge to the east. you have a cat 4/5 that has been on wnw course for days with no sign of a letup. that would be one heck of a turn.

[weatherlover427]

Last time I checked hurricanes didn't make 90 degree turns on a moment's notice.

[seahawkjd]

Not that I think this one is going to but don't joke about that, they do. I can think of at least 3 in the past 20 years that literally turned on a dime and started going a completely different direction. One was coming right at the Carolina coast and turned on a dime and went out to see for one, like 50 minles out.

[Wannabewxman79]

Last time I checked hurricanes didn't make 90 degree turns on a moment's notice.

Actually you are wrong, they can stop and make drastic turns. It is funny how some of you are wanting this storm to come and just discredit everyone's opinion.

[OtherHD]

Don't let you're gaurd down, as I still see Francis making that Northern job and heading up the coast , making landfall in SC.

Northern what?

[flashflood1998]

weird that in the 24 hours hurricane_lover has been a posting member, he has commented 25 times, often doing a "not going to florida" wishcast. hey, i'm no mx, so you won't be seeing a pick from me... but some of us need to be reminded that it could really hit anywhere from the keys to wilmington, with an emphasis on FLA. with that said, only weeks after the charley clusterf*ck, locals officials in all of these areas have to start the preliminary evacuation planning today and lots of companies should uniformly give employees the extra holiday weekend friday off, so everybody on the coast can "get outta dodge".

[TLHR]

The only way for Frances to hit South Carolina is for it to slow down and start heading NW.

Doesn't look like that's going to happen.

Now. That doesn't mean SC won't see any effects from Frances. 10 foot waves are expected along the SC coast as early as Thursday night. And if Frances comes ashore in Jacksonville, we'd still could experience strong winds and rain, being in the NE quadrant.

[FloridaDiver]

Don't let you're gaurd down, as I still see Francis making that Northern job and heading up the coast , making landfall in SC.

Again with this message? How many times are you going to tell us this and by the way several have asked what is your reasoning for such a bold statement? Is there the slightest shred of meteorology info that substantiates this rant of yours or is it nothing more than pure wish-casting?

[Guest]

Don't let you're gaurd down, as I still see Francis making that Northern job and heading up the coast , making landfall in SC.

Northern what?

Hey otherHD what are you doing in Miami?Werent you in Hou?

[krisj]

Today's newspaper is trying to scare us then. There is a huge 2 page spread with lists and evacuation routes. THen they add that it could or could not hit us based on some high and if it strengthens or not and moves west or not.
Each day it looks more and more less likely yet the local people here keep talking about it.
I was going to make the decision today about my weekend plans and preparations if we had to evacuate. We just about cleaned out our freezer.
Are you guys (SC people) letting your guard down yet?

[TLHR]

Not yet, but the GDFL has swung back to the left again, closer to Jacksonville.

But like I said. There needs to be clear signs today that Frances is going to change direction. WNW at 16 mph is not one of them. If Frances slows down, then I'll start to worry again.

Once Frances enters the Bahamas, it would need to turn NW to hit South Carolina. Currently, the GDFL does not show that.

I think the NHC will finalize their landfall predictions tomorrow.

[MBryant]

Has there ever been a storm turn sharply while moving at 16 mph? I don't remember one.

[SCHawkFan]

Who says it will continue to move that fast? Floyd was much closer to FL before it turned north. Of course the conditions that prompted Floyds turn do not exist this time, but sharp turns are not uncommon.

[RevDodd]

"Has there ever been a storm turn sharply while moving at 16 mph? I don't remember one."

Floyd comes to mind...not that I'm predicting the same for Frances, but it does happen on occasion.

[cswitwer]

If Frances hits anywhere from northern Florida to Georgia, Charleston and other SC areas could be in the NE quadrant-- the eye is huge and so are the surrounding wind fields. My fear is that with the ground as saturated as it is, any rain will cause tremendous flooding and more trees down, etc. Of course I also fear a direct hit-- but even getting parts of the system up here after it makes landfall elsewhere could be catastrophic here. There's just nowhere for the water to go!

Our hurricane kit is ready! Just in case!
chris

[TLHR]

Who says it will continue to move that fast? Floyd was much closer to FL before it turned north. Of course the conditions that prompted Floyds turn do not exist this time, but sharp turns are not uncommon.

True.

But if you remember. There was a strong cold front approaching from the west that eventually curved Floyd into Wilmington.

We don't have that this time.
The trough of low pressure does not seem to be strong enough to make Frances a Floyd.

If I lived in FL, I would not waste valuable time hoping Frances will turn to the north. I'd be making storm preparations.

[jlauderdal]

"Has there ever been a storm turn sharply while moving at 16 mph? I don't remember one."

Floyd comes to mind...not that I'm predicting the same for Frances, but it does happen on occasion.

totally different setup with floys...big trough came in hard from the NW to steer it. there is nothing like that...maybe a slight weakness in what looks like storrng ridging to steer this...there will be no sharp turns regardless of wht the gfdl says or anyone on this board.