Euro=S Fla, New Orleans

Anonymous · #1 Postby **Anonymous** » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:28 am

Here is the link to the 00z Euro loop
http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 00!!!step/

mobilebay · #2 Postby **mobilebay** » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:31 am

WOW!!!!!

However, the NHC does not put much wait in this model. I don,t think its that for off.

Matthew5 · #3 Postby **Matthew5** » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:34 am

The Ecmwf has been set for over 9 runs. While the Gfs is flying all over the place :roll:

mobilebay · #4 Postby **mobilebay** » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:36 am

Matthew5 wrote:The Ecmwf has been set for over 9 runs. While the Gfs is flying all over the place

It has done well thus far. IT missed badly with Charley though.

#5 Postby **ericinmia** » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:41 am

Yeah but it nailed Floyd. Which was a semi-similar situation.

This has me worried... it has been on the money now for TOO many runs in a row...

In the never dying spirit of the hard working Dunkin' Donut guy from the 90's comercials... its time to put up the shutters... its time to get final supplies... time to make the coffee... i mean... hahaa

lol
-Eric

#6 Postby **ericinmia** » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:43 am

wow that is very much Andrew like!!!!!!!!!!! Yikes... :eek:

mobilebay · #7 Postby **mobilebay** » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:44 am

Eric. I really think Miami is going to get this cane. I have been saying it for days. Please take all the needed precautions. In my opinion the only thing up in the air is where it goes after hitting Miami.

southerngale · #8 Postby **southerngale** » Tue Aug 31, 2004 2:52 am

ECMWF also nailed Isabel last year several days out. Maybe someone else remembers how many days it was.

Nimbus · #9 Postby **Nimbus** » Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:31 am

This forecast depends on a very strong ridge to steer Frances WNW near the end of the track. The trough over Louisiana continue to push east leaving dry air behind it in northern Louisiana. If the trough lifts out and the ridge over florida builds back west by thursday the Euro track would be possible. We will have a better idea of which orientation of the ridge verifies tomorrow.

AL Chili Pepper · #10 Postby **AL Chili Pepper** » Tue Aug 31, 2004 7:12 am

There goes the neighborhood.

Derecho · #11 Postby **Derecho** » Tue Aug 31, 2004 7:15 am

mobilebay wrote:WOW!!!!! However, the NHC does not put much wait in this model. I don,t think its that for off.

For all of the whining, it is interesting to note that of the global models, the 5AM NHC track is right now closest to the....ECMWF and Canadian models.

The NHC track is much closer to the ECMWF than the GFS.

(The 06 NOGAPS has moved to a South Carolina landfall.)

Euro=S Fla, New Orleans

Euro=S Fla, New Orleans

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