18z GFS shifts back west

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Vortex
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18z GFS shifts back west

#1 Postby Vortex » Sun Aug 29, 2004 5:37 pm

with a landfall along the se florida coast....

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_156l.gif
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#2 Postby chris_fit » Sun Aug 29, 2004 5:38 pm

that sucks again
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#3 Postby tampastorm » Sun Aug 29, 2004 5:39 pm

And it will suck , not suck many times back and fourth in the coming days!
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#4 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Sun Aug 29, 2004 5:39 pm

Is this the first model initialized with the Gulfstream data? Very curious to see what happens.

* nevermind....answered in another thread. Not available yet.
Last edited by AL Chili Pepper on Sun Aug 29, 2004 5:43 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#5 Postby Aquawind » Sun Aug 29, 2004 5:40 pm

:cry: I want my Mommie!!! :cry:





:lol: :lol:
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#6 Postby Derecho » Sun Aug 29, 2004 5:41 pm

NO Gulfstream data.

And actually that data's mostly irrelevant to a forecast of a turn in 6 days. The G-IV would have to be flying over Canada for that.


And it's a very, very tiny shift in the track. For a 6 day forecast, basically meaningless.
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#7 Postby Aquawind » Sun Aug 29, 2004 5:41 pm

AL Chili Pepper wrote:Is this the first model initialized with the Gulfstream data? Very curious to see what happens.


Not yet..8pm run for 0Z will later tonight.. :wink:
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#8 Postby mf_dolphin » Sun Aug 29, 2004 5:42 pm

That looks to be a Melbourne landfall. the one that really matter though are still 4-5 days away. Everyone in the cone better get ready. Charley should have taught us Floridians that much at least.
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#9 Postby mb229 » Sun Aug 29, 2004 5:43 pm

...and perhaps more problems ahead as there is an L blob in the Eastern Atlantic in this model :(
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#10 Postby Brent » Sun Aug 29, 2004 5:46 pm

Just like John Kerry...

Flip, Flop, Flip. :lol: :P
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#11 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Sun Aug 29, 2004 5:52 pm

Derecho wrote:NO Gulfstream data.

And actually that data's mostly irrelevant to a forecast of a turn in 6 days. The G-IV would have to be flying over Canada for that.


And it's a very, very tiny shift in the track. For a 6 day forecast, basically meaningless.


Not irrelevant to the people in San Juan though.
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#12 Postby Guest » Sun Aug 29, 2004 6:10 pm

hey lets keep this weather not politics
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#13 Postby jlauderdal » Sun Aug 29, 2004 6:11 pm

smokin wrote:hey lets keep this weather not politics

drinkin
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#14 Postby btangy » Sun Aug 29, 2004 6:40 pm

18Z model doesn't have that shortwave over the Great Lakes like the 12Z had...hmmm.
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#15 Postby LowMug » Sun Aug 29, 2004 6:40 pm

For what is worth the GFS does show a WSW movement from it's latest position...
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#16 Postby TexasSam » Sun Aug 29, 2004 6:44 pm

I guess that map makes YET another storm down in the lower right? *crazy year*
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#17 Postby dhweather » Sun Aug 29, 2004 6:46 pm

mb229 wrote:...and perhaps more problems ahead as there is an L blob in the Eastern Atlantic in this model :(


tis the season........ :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
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