Frances continues on track....
One important key here as usually is timimg...
Looking at all model guidance and the overall synoptic set-up over the SE US through the next 7 days a point or 2 two be made..
If frances maintains a movement of 12-18mph beyond Monday than the chance of a landfalling hurricane in S Fl is High.
However, if Frances moves slowly throughout the forecasted period or stalls she will likely make it into the central bahamas before a turn towards the nw/nnw late next weekend in advance of an approaching trough.
The forward speed in this case is as equally important as the direction and will make all the difference.
Either she makes landfall in se florida early saturday or if not then the carolinas get this cane monday morning....IMHO
Afternoon thoughts...
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Afternoon thoughts...
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