Please stop

[mobilebay]

there are many other models indicating a track so far north of miami that it isnt even funny. Will you all understand that only a small sample of the models are provided in those transmissions? Plus, there is a reason why the nhc and nwhhc tracks are in agreement at this point, because this is a straight forward forecast than anyone should be able to get right through 5 days

Why don't the NHC mention these other transmissions?

[Dean4Storms]

there are many other models indicating a track so far north of miami that it isnt even funny. Will you all understand that only a small sample of the models are provided in those transmissions? Plus, there is a reason why the nhc and nwhhc tracks are in agreement at this point, because this is a straight forward forecast than anyone should be able to get right through 5 days

Very true, for now the forecast is pretty straight forward with a TC riding around a ridge. The question is how far northward does Frances erode into the ridge as she rounds it late in the forecast period, that makes all the difference in the world. For now if she tracks 50 miles further south over the next day the extrapolation would make all the difference in the world and vice-versa.

[Derek Ortt]

the models are similar to some of the others (like GFDI, but that is available for the current forecast, instead of GFDL that you have to wait until the next forecast to use)