Every jog is now very important for the islands.

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jlauderdal
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#21 Postby jlauderdal » Sun Aug 29, 2004 8:34 am

Air Force Met wrote:
MIA_canetrakker wrote:Moving much more west now.If were in Anguilla,St.Martin,St.Barthelemy & Barbuda I would not be takin it easy riight now.


Given the great track record of the GFS...and the westward turn as forecasted by the GFS...It looks like it could pass about 90 miles north of the PR.

Pretty close. I expect watches sometime today or tonight.


I also suspect TPC will have to shift their 5 day west bast on the current heading
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#22 Postby Brent » Sun Aug 29, 2004 8:42 am

:eek: :(
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#23 Postby BlizzardNole » Sun Aug 29, 2004 10:04 am

I got some people to pray in church this morning. Go north, go north, go north!!
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#24 Postby msbee » Sun Aug 29, 2004 10:18 am

I'm not in church but I sure am praying for that! :)
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#25 Postby WXBUFFJIM » Sun Aug 29, 2004 10:30 am

With the center possibly 90 miles away from the islands including Puerto Rico, sustained winds would easily be up to tropical storm force with gusts possibly approaching hurricane force. Huge waves and swells will likely occur on the north facing beaches of the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the northern Leewards. Definitely something to keep an eye on as every small shift in the track will be very critical with time.

Jim
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#26 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 29, 2004 11:34 am

I was I church this morning and eveyone prayed for it go go away and not bother anyone.
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#27 Postby The_Cycloman_PR » Sun Aug 29, 2004 12:26 pm

Air Force Met wrote:
MIA_canetrakker wrote:Moving much more west now.If were in Anguilla,St.Martin,St.Barthelemy & Barbuda I would not be takin it easy riight now.


Given the great track record of the GFS...and the westward turn as forecasted by the GFS...It looks like it could pass about 90 miles north of the PR.

Pretty close. I expect watches sometime today or tonight.



Air Force Met! You scared me! a Cat 4 passing just 90millas from us coud be real ugly!
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#28 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Sun Aug 29, 2004 12:28 pm

cycloneye wrote:I was I church this morning and eveyone prayed for it go go away and not bother anyone.



I am with ya...cyclone!
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#29 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 29, 2004 5:24 pm

This evening another little jog to the WSW has been seen and those kinds of wobbles represent a few more miles more closer when Frances passes to the north of the islands.Let's keep watching that eyes movement.
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#30 Postby btsgmdad » Sun Aug 29, 2004 5:29 pm

If all you guys get is TWC then you are extremely lucky to have this board. I waited 15 years to find a group of people as crazy about the weather as I am.
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#31 Postby GulfBreezer » Sun Aug 29, 2004 5:30 pm

CYC & PR........

You guys just stay safe and keep us posted on your conditions.............

Sandi
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#32 Postby MGC » Sun Aug 29, 2004 5:32 pm

Looks like Frances will miss the islands but not by much. The GFS has done a good job on Frances so far. Good luck to you down in the beautiful islands and stay safe.......MGC
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#33 Postby Aquawind » Sun Aug 29, 2004 5:32 pm

Stay Safe Islanders..and you to PR.. :wink:
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#34 Postby KBBOCA » Sun Aug 29, 2004 5:38 pm

I assume and hope all in the islands know about the Storm Carib site. They have some great tools like "how close will it get to my island" and they post updates from "weather watchers" on the various islands. There are lots of folks there who have been through MANY major hurricanes and I'm sure would be glad to provide advice to other islanders. Here's the link to the main site:

http://stormcarib.com/

Hoping Frances stays far away from the Islands... and the US too!
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#35 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 29, 2004 5:42 pm

Thanks to all for those words and hopefully it passes well away from Puerto Rico,the virgin islands and the northern leewards.
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#36 Postby msbee » Sun Aug 29, 2004 6:12 pm

thansk everyone for well wishes for the isalnds
cycloneye, stay safe and thanks for all your help and advice
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#37 Postby schmita » Sun Aug 29, 2004 6:26 pm

Yes, thanks to all for your thoughts. And let's not get an Island "fall".
irina
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#38 Postby Nimbus » Sun Aug 29, 2004 7:09 pm

This is one confusing storm. Any other storm in that location I would be saying adios. This storm you might end up boarding the east facing windows. Stay tuned.
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#39 Postby msbee » Sun Aug 29, 2004 7:15 pm

I know nimbus
it's really hard to know what to do.
I have this feeling that at the last minute we are all going to go crazy on the island boarding up when right now we think we don't have to.
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#40 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 29, 2004 7:18 pm

Now not good news for the islands as the winds has expanded in area now tropical force winds 125 miles from the eye and hurricane force winds 85 miles.So it will be crucial for the islands to see the eye pass more than 200 miles to be safe but those latest jogs to the WSW haved been not good for us.
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