98L has LLCC

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Matthew5

98L has LLCC

#1 Postby Matthew5 » Sun Aug 29, 2004 6:57 am

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/04_ ... _full.html


This system has a closed surface cirulation with flare ups of covnection. Still needs to be watched!
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Hyperstorm
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#2 Postby Hyperstorm » Sun Aug 29, 2004 6:59 am

It's quite obvious. It's had one for a few days already. In fact, the latest quickscat is misleading. The actual LLC is farther NE near the edge of the convective mass. There seems to be some easterly shear, but not enough to keep this from strengthening gradually. It should become a tropical storm...

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#3 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Aug 29, 2004 7:00 am

Interesting, now that Gaston is getting out of the way is possible it will have a better chance to develop, let see.
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#4 Postby Matthew5 » Sun Aug 29, 2004 7:02 am

Looks like it is close to a depression?
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#5 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Aug 29, 2004 7:04 am

Matthew5 wrote:Looks like it is close to a depression?


It may be a very small one.
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#6 Postby Matthew5 » Sun Aug 29, 2004 7:15 am

1014 MB LOW PRESSURE LOCATED NEAR 30N70W ABOUT 250 NM WSW OF
BERMUDA. THIS SYSTEM IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...AND HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITH IN 090 NM OF THE
CENTER.
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#7 Postby Matthew5 » Sun Aug 29, 2004 8:24 am

Last night the gfdl shown this getting close to NC look at it now! I think it is very close to tropical depression http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/04_ ... _full.html
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#8 Postby Guest » Sun Aug 29, 2004 8:25 am

Maybe well see Hermione soon! lol
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#9 Postby Matthew5 » Sun Aug 29, 2004 8:26 am

I think so! :)
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#10 Postby frankthetank » Sun Aug 29, 2004 8:27 am

its not even September yet...amazing...
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#11 Postby Matthew5 » Sun Aug 29, 2004 8:28 am

The Nrl says it is 30 knots at 1012 millibars!
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#12 Postby Hyperstorm » Sun Aug 29, 2004 8:33 am

Latest satellite image indicates slightly better organization. I would expect a tropical depression rather soon. This system will miss the United States shoreline due to the same trough that is carrying Gaston northward, but it could be a problem as an extratropical gale for the maritimes of Canada.


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#13 Postby Matthew5 » Sun Aug 29, 2004 8:51 am

It is looking better by the minute. In its still moving west!
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