LBAR is kicking butt with Frances

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Scott_inVA
Storm2k Forecaster
Storm2k Forecaster
Posts: 1238
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2002 5:44 pm
Location: Lexington, Virginia
Contact:
Contact Scott_inVA

LBAR is kicking butt with Frances

#1 Postby Scott_inVA » Sat Aug 28, 2004 6:47 pm

I've been staining our cedar siding all day and was thinking "what can I do that's more fun than this?". So I ran a verification though 18Z on Frances.

Through 72 hours, the overall best performance has been turned in by the lowly LBAR :eek:

Second place: TPC (they are #1 at 48 hrs)

UKMET is second to last so far...only thing worse than the UKie to date has been the A98E (barf).

GFDL not done well inside 72 hrs. GFS was better last year with Carib/GOM storms than thus far with Frances so we'll see.

The "unofficial" stands (EC is not included)

1. LBAR
2. Official TPC/NHC
3. GFDL
4. BAMD
5. GFS
6. CMC
7. NOGAPS
8. BAMM
9. UKMET
10 A98E

chug-chug lil' LBAR...you're the model that could.

UKMET and LBARImage

Scott
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
LaBreeze
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1497
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 1:57 pm
Location: SW Louisiana

#2 Postby LaBreeze » Sat Aug 28, 2004 6:54 pm

An opinion I respect, Scott.
0 likes   
Top
NOAA-NHC Saubers1
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 27
Joined: Sat Aug 28, 2004 6:43 pm

#3 Postby NOAA-NHC Saubers1 » Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:02 pm

UKMET has been basically ignored here at the forecast center, its product is generally accepted as improbable for this hurricane.
0 likes   
Top
NOAA-NHC Saubers1
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 27
Joined: Sat Aug 28, 2004 6:43 pm

#4 Postby NOAA-NHC Saubers1 » Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:04 pm

We really dont know what to think about this one yet, our forecast will be substantially better in 1-2 days from now, this storm is throwing us a curve ball....we dont like curve balls when it comes to possible category 5 hurricanes :(
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 181 guests