She's back and meaner than before

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Benlanka
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She's back and meaner than before

#1 Postby Benlanka » Sat Aug 28, 2004 6:40 am

Eye is quickly redeveloping and it looks a lot bigger now.

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#2 Postby chris_fit » Sat Aug 28, 2004 6:44 am

:eek:
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#3 Postby Benlanka » Sat Aug 28, 2004 6:46 am

Updated with 11.15z image. Eye is a bit obscured by some Cirrus clouds on this image but it looks huge now.
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#4 Postby Windtalker » Sat Aug 28, 2004 6:47 am

O M G
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#5 Postby petunia » Sat Aug 28, 2004 6:47 am

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml This shows Frances going into thd GOM and hitting LA
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#6 Postby vacanechaser » Sat Aug 28, 2004 7:28 am

i would have to say that the eyewall replacement cycle is complete??? lol... well time for further strengthening....
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#7 Postby Brent » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:23 am

This will easily be a Cat 4 later today. It has that "buzzsaw" look. :eek:
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#8 Postby Air Force Met » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:47 am

petunia wrote:http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/00/index_p06_l_loop.shtml This shows Frances going into thd GOM and hitting LA


Yeah...hitting New Orleans from the SE. Bad news...but chances of the GFS being right that far out are slim...but not none.
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#9 Postby Benlanka » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:51 am

13.15z update... eye and eyewall are now clearly visible.

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#10 Postby Hurricanehink » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:52 am

Wow, I'm just glad it isn't affecting anyone... yet. Cat. 4 is definetly possible.
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#11 Postby chris_fit » Sat Aug 28, 2004 8:52 am

just beautiful
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#12 Postby Guest » Sat Aug 28, 2004 9:48 am

that gfs is very worrying..... mainly because it has it hitting new orleans after going over the keys!
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#13 Postby Brent » Sat Aug 28, 2004 9:50 am

It seems to be larger in size as well. :eek:
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#14 Postby PurdueWx80 » Sat Aug 28, 2004 9:52 am

nikolai wrote:that gfs is very worrying..... mainly because it has it hitting new orleans after going over the keys!


That was the 00Z GFS. The 06z takes it in just south of Corpus Christi, TX. It is worrisome that so many runs in a row have taken her into the Gulf through the FL straits. While it is still too far out, when a model is being so consistent you have to start giving it a little credence.
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#15 Postby AussieMark » Sat Aug 28, 2004 9:54 am

Brent wrote:It seems to be larger in size as well. :eek:


Tropical storm force winds area is the same.

But Hurricane Force winds area is up.

Was 25 miles

now is 30 miles.
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#16 Postby KatDaddy » Sat Aug 28, 2004 10:17 am

Hey PurdueWx80. Do you have the link to the latest GFS 06z run?

Thanks.
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#17 Postby Benlanka » Sat Aug 28, 2004 10:50 am

15.15z update... looking scarier and more intense by the hour. Massive eye too.

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#18 Postby James » Sat Aug 28, 2004 11:04 am

Amazing to think that just 3 days ago this storm was a tropical wave.
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#19 Postby wxman57 » Sat Aug 28, 2004 11:27 am

Here's a shot I just made with McIdas with 1 deg lat/lon lines on it:

<img src="http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/frances19.gif">

And Zoomed in more:
<img src="http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/frances20.gif">
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#20 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 28, 2004 11:28 am

Impressive photos.
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