Can we rein in the hysteria and get real?

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Downdraft
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Can we rein in the hysteria and get real?

#1 Postby Downdraft » Fri Aug 27, 2004 5:13 pm

Frances is 10 yep that's 10 days out from the mainland. 10 days in the tropics is a long time. As for CAT 4, CAT 5, if the NHC can't accurately predict intensity why create hysteria in here? Personally, I'd love to see a CAT 5 as it turns out to sea. Let's watch it and have fun folks but way to early to start firing up the masses. We have to watch and wait but anyone that reads this has plenty of time to get ready. NO one can predict the intensity of this storm and right now no one but God knows exactly where it's going to go. I'm not a meteorolgist I'm in emergency management. We prepare for the worst we hope for the best but we don't react to something that's a long way from being a threat to anyone on the mainland. Just my two cents. Hate to see such hysteria long before hysteria is called for.
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Re: Can we rein in the hysteria and get real?

#2 Postby CalmBeforeStorm » Fri Aug 27, 2004 5:16 pm

Downdraft wrote:Frances is 10 yep that's 10 days out from the mainland. 10 days in the tropics is a long time. As for CAT 4, CAT 5, if the NHC can't accurately predict intensity why create hysteria in here? Personally, I'd love to see a CAT 5 as it turns out to sea. Let's watch it and have fun folks but way to early to start firing up the masses. We have to watch and wait but anyone that reads this has plenty of time to get ready. NO one can predict the intensity of this storm and right now no one but God knows exactly where it's going to go. I'm not a meteorolgist I'm in emergency management. We prepare for the worst we hope for the best but we don't react to something that's a long way from being a threat to anyone on the mainland. Just my two cents. Hate to see such hysteria long before hysteria is called for.
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Re: Can we rein in the hysteria and get real?

#3 Postby CalmBeforeStorm » Fri Aug 27, 2004 5:16 pm

Downdraft wrote:Frances is 10 yep that's 10 days out from the mainland. 10 days in the tropics is a long time. As for CAT 4, CAT 5, if the NHC can't accurately predict intensity why create hysteria in here? Personally, I'd love to see a CAT 5 as it turns out to sea. Let's watch it and have fun folks but way to early to start firing up the masses. We have to watch and wait but anyone that reads this has plenty of time to get ready. NO one can predict the intensity of this storm and right now no one but God knows exactly where it's going to go. I'm not a meteorolgist I'm in emergency management. We prepare for the worst we hope for the best but we don't react to something that's a long way from being a threat to anyone on the mainland. Just my two cents. Hate to see such hysteria long before hysteria is called for.


7-8 dayd by the NHC positions.
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#4 Postby B-Bear » Fri Aug 27, 2004 5:17 pm

I must have missed the hysteria. All I saw were weather enthusiasts discussing the possibilties.
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#5 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Fri Aug 27, 2004 5:17 pm

:lol:
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#6 Postby wx247 » Fri Aug 27, 2004 5:18 pm

B-Bear wrote:I must have missed the hysteria. All I saw were weather enthusiasts discussing the possibilties.


HI B-Bear. Here is the hysteria: hysteria! hysteria! blah blah blah hysteria!

Now Downdraft can refer to something that is present on the message board. ;)
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Re: Can we rein in the hysteria and get real?

#7 Postby msbee » Fri Aug 27, 2004 5:19 pm

Downdraft wrote:CAT 4, CAT 5, if the NHC can't accurately predict intensity why create hysteria in here? Personally, I'd love to see a CAT 5 as it turns out to sea. Let's watch it and have fun folks but way to early to start firing up the masses. We have to watch and wait but anyone that reads this has plenty of time to get ready.


well, there are several of us who live in the Caribbean who may not have 10 days. I get upset when people on this board only refer to the USA and do not consider the islands. It seems to me that if this is a board for all, then those of you who live in the USA should not sit back and have fun watching this storm when those of us in the islands have to be more concerend right now! You should have some consideration for us too!
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Re: Can we rein in the hysteria and get real?

#8 Postby B-Bear » Fri Aug 27, 2004 5:23 pm

msbee wrote:
Downdraft wrote:CAT 4, CAT 5, if the NHC can't accurately predict intensity why create hysteria in here? Personally, I'd love to see a CAT 5 as it turns out to sea. Let's watch it and have fun folks but way to early to start firing up the masses. We have to watch and wait but anyone that reads this has plenty of time to get ready.


well, there are several of us who live in the Caribbean who may not have 10 days. I get upset when people on this board only refer to the USA and do not consider the islands. It seems to me that if this is a board for all, then those of you who live in the USA should not sit back and have fun watching this storm when those of us in the islands have to be more concerend right now! You should have some consideration for us too!


There's the hysteria! Sorry, j/k.

I am concerned for wherever this storm hits. And I'm sorry that I am watching this storm with a little bit of excitement. I can't help myself. I am awestruck by the forces of weather. But that doesn't mean I don't care about you or any other people that might be affected by Frances. ;)
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#9 Postby southerngale » Fri Aug 27, 2004 5:24 pm

You're right msbee and many of us do consider the islands. Unfortunately, I don't have any meteorological advice for you except ask questions if you have them and hopefully the mets or amateurs can help you. Oh, and please be prepared, just in case!

downdraft...I really don't see any hysteria but of course I haven't read every single post.
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Sorry Ms.B

#10 Postby Downdraft » Fri Aug 27, 2004 5:27 pm

Your right I wasn't thinking about the Islands. And, yes you have every right to be concerned. I guess I just react to people making predictions without any basis in fact. If I was in the Islands I'd be very worried right now as you are. You have every right to be.
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Re: Sorry Ms.B

#11 Postby B-Bear » Fri Aug 27, 2004 5:30 pm

Downdraft wrote:Your right I wasn't thinking about the Islands. And, yes you have every right to be concerned. I guess I just react to people making predictions without any basis in fact. If I was in the Islands I'd be very worried right now as you are. You have every right to be.


But people aren't making predictions without any basis in fact. To the contrary, people are speculating based upon available data, forecast conditions, current conditions, and historical trends. That's what weather enthusiasts do, and, unless I'm mistaken, that is what this message board is for. ;)
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#12 Postby bahamaswx » Fri Aug 27, 2004 5:33 pm

I especially don't like when people refer to fish storms as those which do not strike the US mainland, regardless of where else they may hit.
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Re: Can we rein in the hysteria and get real?

#13 Postby tracyswfla » Fri Aug 27, 2004 5:35 pm

Downdraft wrote:Frances is 10 yep that's 10 days out from the mainland. 10 days in the tropics is a long time. As for CAT 4, CAT 5, if the NHC can't accurately predict intensity why create hysteria in here? Personally, I'd love to see a CAT 5 as it turns out to sea. Let's watch it and have fun folks but way to early to start firing up the masses. We have to watch and wait but anyone that reads this has plenty of time to get ready. NO one can predict the intensity of this storm and right now no one but God knows exactly where it's going to go. I'm not a meteorolgist I'm in emergency management. We prepare for the worst we hope for the best but we don't react to something that's a long way from being a threat to anyone on the mainland. Just my two cents. Hate to see such hysteria long before hysteria is called for.
.

I need a new roof and I had a flood in my home that affected every room but ONE thanks to Charley. I have over 20K of damage. I can't afford my deductible, so while I am not hysterical, but extremely concerned about my family and our home. Charley is still very fresh in our minds.
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#14 Postby schmita » Fri Aug 27, 2004 5:38 pm

You know I am glad Barbara brought this up. It has been very disconcerting reading about concerns 10 days out in MD or some such place when we are facing something that we are measuring in hours not weeks.
Try to think of others in the path that come before you.
Thanks for letting me vent.
irina
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#15 Postby Joseph » Fri Aug 27, 2004 5:38 pm

Quit being a party pooper, downdraft! Geez!
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#16 Postby canegrl04 » Fri Aug 27, 2004 5:43 pm

Look at the data before you accuse people of hysteria based on nothing. So far,Frances has intensified faster than the forecasters anticipated.Ahead of her path there is no shear,and the sst's get very warm.Put two and two together
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Re: Can we rein in the hysteria and get real?

#17 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Aug 27, 2004 5:57 pm

Downdraft wrote:Frances is 10 yep that's 10 days out from the mainland. 10 days in the tropics is a long time. As for CAT 4, CAT 5, if the NHC can't accurately predict intensity why create hysteria in here? Personally, I'd love to see a CAT 5 as it turns out to sea. Let's watch it and have fun folks but way to early to start firing up the masses. We have to watch and wait but anyone that reads this has plenty of time to get ready. NO one can predict the intensity of this storm and right now no one but God knows exactly where it's going to go. I'm not a meteorolgist I'm in emergency management. We prepare for the worst we hope for the best but we don't react to something that's a long way from being a threat to anyone on the mainland. Just my two cents. Hate to see such hysteria long before hysteria is called for.


the only hysteria i have seen was from an emt yesterday saying there was an emergency.
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Re: Can we rein in the hysteria and get real?

#18 Postby cape_escape » Fri Aug 27, 2004 7:20 pm

tracyswfla wrote:
Downdraft wrote:Frances is 10 yep that's 10 days out from the mainland. 10 days in the tropics is a long time. As for CAT 4, CAT 5, if the NHC can't accurately predict intensity why create hysteria in here? Personally, I'd love to see a CAT 5 as it turns out to sea. Let's watch it and have fun folks but way to early to start firing up the masses. We have to watch and wait but anyone that reads this has plenty of time to get ready. NO one can predict the intensity of this storm and right now no one but God knows exactly where it's going to go. I'm not a meteorolgist I'm in emergency management. We prepare for the worst we hope for the best but we don't react to something that's a long way from being a threat to anyone on the mainland. Just my two cents. Hate to see such hysteria long before hysteria is called for.
.

I need a new roof and I had a flood in my home that affected every room but ONE thanks to Charley. I have over 20K of damage. I can't afford my deductible, so while I am not hysterical, but extremely concerned about my family and our home. Charley is still very fresh in our minds.


Thank you for puttng that so well! I'm with you!
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Re: Can we rein in the hysteria and get real?

#19 Postby Mello1 » Fri Aug 27, 2004 7:26 pm

Downdraft wrote:Frances is 10 yep that's 10 days out from the mainland. 10 days in the tropics is a long time. As for CAT 4, CAT 5, if the NHC can't accurately predict intensity why create hysteria in here? Personally, I'd love to see a CAT 5 as it turns out to sea. Let's watch it and have fun folks but way to early to start firing up the masses. We have to watch and wait but anyone that reads this has plenty of time to get ready. NO one can predict the intensity of this storm and right now no one but God knows exactly where it's going to go. I'm not a meteorolgist I'm in emergency management. We prepare for the worst we hope for the best but we don't react to something that's a long way from being a threat to anyone on the mainland. Just my two cents. Hate to see such hysteria long before hysteria is called for.


Who's hysterical? Most folk here are doing what they've done before. Providing good information and analysis.
Last edited by Mello1 on Fri Aug 27, 2004 7:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#20 Postby Mello1 » Fri Aug 27, 2004 7:33 pm

canegrl04 wrote:Look at the data before you accuse people of hysteria based on nothing. So far,Frances has intensified faster than the forecasters anticipated.Ahead of her path there is no shear,and the sst's get very warm.Put two and two together


Well, if you are not a weather buff or met who understands these things, then it's hard to put two and two together. But I trust most of the folks here because you guys take the time to study the data and render opinions.
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