TD#7 at 5PM!

[GaryOBX]

WONT41 KNHC 271818
DSAAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
215 PM EDT FRI AUG 27 2004

SATELLITE...RADAR...AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THE
WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 140 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER
ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON. THEREFORE...ADVISORIES WILL BE
INITIATED ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA COASTS...AND POSSIBLY FOR A SMALL
PORTION OF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST SINCE THE DEPRESSION IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD BY SATURDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

[Stormcenter]

WONT41 KNHC 271818
DSAAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
215 PM EDT FRI AUG 27 2004

SATELLITE...RADAR...AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THE
WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 140 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER
ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON. THEREFORE...ADVISORIES WILL BE
INITIATED ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA COASTS...AND POSSIBLY FOR A SMALL
PORTION OF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST SINCE THE DEPRESSION IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD BY SATURDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

Wow that was quick!!! Thanks!!!!!

[Josephine96]

There we go.. there's confirmation..

Now we just wait for Gaston to come about..

[Windspeed]

I was typing my post as GaryOBX got his out.

[Brent]

I told you it looked like a cyclone.

[Air Force Met]

Figured that would happen...glad to see they didn't wait until 10. The NRL site now has 07L.noname as well...

[Josephine96]

Now the question is whether it'll become Gaston before landfall

[kevin]

I'd say yes, will probably become a moderate tropical storm.

[Brent]

Now the question is whether it'll become Gaston before landfall

I think it's got a very good chance. Obviously with the NHC issuing watches at 5pm it will.

[Stormcenter]

Now the question is whether it'll become Gaston before landfall

YES!!!!!

[Josephine96]

Slowly.. I guess we can now make that 7 named storms {assuming it earns it's name}

[Brent]

Slowly.. I guess we can now make that 7 named storms {assuming it earns it's name}

The Atlantic and EPAC are in a race. LOL EPAC has had 10 systems, but only 7 named storms. With Gaston, the Atlantic will be caught up. Don't see that often.

[Pebbles]

Glad to know they will be issuing advisories...now will wait to hear when recon will go out!

[Windspeed]

Slowly.. I guess we can now make that 7 named storms {assuming it earns it's name}

I think chances are very high TD#7 will reach T.S. status over the next 24 hours. 1) There is little to no shear, 2) the outflow is very condusive for development, 3) the center fix and forecast at 5pm will probably call for slow movement until the ridge pushes the system inland (i.e. it will have enough time and open water to intensify).

[Josephine96]

My guess is tonight for recon on #7

[Brent]

Just FWIW... since it appears likely TD 7 will be Gaston that will put us AHEAD of last year. The system that became Fabian didn't form until 5pm on August 27th(one year ago today), and it was not named until the next day.

[Josephine96]

Oh.. let's not have flash backs to Fabian.. He obliterated Bermuda

[Brent]

[charleston_hugo_veteran]

[Hurricanehink]

Wow! This morning it wasn't even an invest, and now it is a TD!