Is it just me...

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38264
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

Is it just me...

#1 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 27, 2004 12:23 pm

or does Invest 97L have that cyclone look to it? :eek:

Image
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
tallywx
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 798
Joined: Thu Jul 03, 2003 10:19 am
Location: Raleigh/Durham, NC

#2 Postby tallywx » Fri Aug 27, 2004 12:25 pm

I for one think it does, albeit still in the formative stages. I especially "like" seeing the low level clouds NW of the system wrapping into what appears to be a broad center of circulation. Upper level outflow looks pretty good. I think this will be an official depression by day's end, early tomorrow at the latest.

Even if this thing makes landfall in 24-36 hours, we could see fairly rapid spin-up with outflow being so good...meaning a named storm with moderate tropical storm force winds...at least...
Last edited by tallywx on Fri Aug 27, 2004 12:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
rainstorm

#3 Postby rainstorm » Fri Aug 27, 2004 12:25 pm

i was expecting gaston a few days ago here. looking good. should move west and hit sc as a 55 mph ts.
0 likes   
Top
Air Force Met
Military Met
Military Met
Posts: 4372
Age: 56
Joined: Tue Jul 08, 2003 9:30 am
Location: Roan Mountain, TN

#4 Postby Air Force Met » Fri Aug 27, 2004 12:26 pm

I think its a TD already. Matter of fact...I've seen the NHC call things TDs that looked a lot worse :-)

Like GRACE '03!!!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
LCfromFL
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 257
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2004 11:17 pm
Location: NE FL

#5 Postby LCfromFL » Fri Aug 27, 2004 12:27 pm

I'm seeing spin - but I always get hung up between mid-and low-level spins....so who knows.

Did I read that this thing is drifting SW? Would that continue? Any thoughts?
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38264
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#6 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 27, 2004 12:27 pm

Air Force Met wrote:I think its a TD already. Matter of fact...I've seen the NHC call things TDs that looked a lot worse :-)

Like GRACE '03!!!


LOL! Exactly my thoughts. This is almost exactly where Alex formed as well. What is it with the SC/NC coast this year? Alex, Charley, and now this are passing through that area.
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38264
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#7 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 27, 2004 12:28 pm

LCfromFL wrote:I'm seeing spin - but I always get hung up between mid-and low-level spins....so who knows.

Did I read that this thing is drifting SW? Would that continue? Any thoughts?


It has a weak LLC.

ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE COAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA...
CENTERED ABOUT 115 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON...IS DRIFTING
SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALSO
INCREASED AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED WITH THIS SYSTEM...AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE
THE SYSTEM TURNS WESTWARD TOWARD THE U.S. COAST.
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
OtherHD
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2192
Age: 39
Joined: Tue Oct 08, 2002 10:01 am
Location: San Antonio, TX

#8 Postby OtherHD » Fri Aug 27, 2004 12:36 pm

rainstorm wrote:i was expecting gaston a few days ago here. looking good. should move west and hit sc as a 55 mph ts.


Sounds reasonable.
0 likes   
Top
Guest

#9 Postby Guest » Fri Aug 27, 2004 12:40 pm

animate the shot above and it looks like a well formed cyclone.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31416
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#10 Postby KWT » Fri Aug 27, 2004 12:40 pm

looks like a decent storm,it would'nt suprise me that it's TD7.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Lowpressure
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2032
Age: 58
Joined: Sun Sep 14, 2003 9:17 am
Location: Charlotte, North Carolina

#11 Postby Lowpressure » Fri Aug 27, 2004 12:42 pm

With cold front moving in this weekend could be a nice rainmaker for most of the coast from Ga northward. Alex strengthened pretty well in the same general area, 55 sounds reasonable but 75 is possible, especially if it sits or drifts.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 78 guests