Isn't it strange that nothing formed in the GOM so far?

cajungal · #1 Postby **cajungal** » Wed Aug 25, 2004 11:00 am

I think it is strange that nothing formed in the Gulf of Mexico so far this season. Especially with our waters being so warm. We had action coming in from the Caribbean. But, nothing got started in the Gulf. August is almost over and it is still as quiet as can be.

OtherHD · #2 Postby **OtherHD** » Wed Aug 25, 2004 11:01 am

Bonnie

Derecho · #3 Postby **Derecho** » Wed Aug 25, 2004 11:02 am

cajungal wrote:I think it is strange that nothing formed in the Gulf of Mexico so far this season. Especially with our waters being so warm. We had action coming in from the Caribbean. But, nothing got started in the Gulf. August is almost over and it is still as quiet as can be.

Nope, actually this is normal. On average, less than one storm a year forms IN the GOM...so it's actually normal to have years where NOTHING forms in the GOM, even if the year is average or above average in terms of activity elsewhere.

What WAS unusual was the large number of storms that formed in the GOM last year.

The OVERWHELMING majority of damaging GOM hurricane hits are from storms that form OUTSIDE the GOM.

Derecho · #4 Postby **Derecho** » Wed Aug 25, 2004 11:04 am

OtherHD wrote:Bonnie

Somewhat of a special case as Bonnie was an official TD outside the GOM, then advisories stopped, then restarted again, in the GOM.

frederic79 · #5 Postby **frederic79** » Wed Aug 25, 2004 11:14 am

Did anyone notice that TD6 is now within about the same location of where Bonnie began (as just a strong wave prior to becoming TD3)? I had it marked at 10.3N/40.5W and TD6 is now at 11.4N/39.1W.

Stormsfury · #6 Postby **Stormsfury** » Wed Aug 25, 2004 11:23 am

Nothing can develop in the GOM when

1) A large subtropical ridge gets displaced westward and produces subsidence over the entire GOM basin.

2) That same ridge is replaced by an unusually strong longwave trough that produces unfavorable winds across most of the basin ...

Rainband · #7 Postby **Rainband** » Wed Aug 25, 2004 11:25 am

October is a Big GOM month :wink:

caneman · #8 Postby **caneman** » Wed Aug 25, 2004 1:02 pm

Rainband wrote:October is a Big GOM month

yeah,

Sept. October and November. I think that is what we're all afraid of along the West Florida coast. I have a feeling yet another one is gonna come calling on Florida this year.

rbaker · #9 Postby **rbaker** » Wed Aug 25, 2004 2:06 pm

oct, esp for fla west coast, nov more likely s fla from naples south, sst's ususally too cool up in central gom northward.

LaBreeze · #10 Postby **LaBreeze** » Wed Aug 25, 2004 2:32 pm

Well, it is so hot and humid today here that I'm surprised no storm has formed over my neighbor's swimming pool! :firedevil:

Isn't it strange that nothing formed in the GOM so far?

Isn't it strange that nothing formed in the GOM so far?

Re: Isn't it strange that nothing formed in the GOM so far?

Speaking of Bonnie...

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