Comming late but here they are 00:00 UTC models

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148497
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Comming late but here they are 00:00 UTC models

#1 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 23, 2004 9:58 pm

OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL962004) ON 20040824 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
040824 0000 040824 1200 040825 0000 040825 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 10.2N 29.0W 10.4N 31.5W 10.6N 34.0W 10.9N 36.4W
BAMM 10.2N 29.0W 10.5N 31.4W 10.9N 33.8W 11.2N 36.3W
A98E 10.2N 29.0W 10.5N 31.8W 10.8N 34.6W 10.9N 37.3W
LBAR 10.2N 29.0W 10.5N 31.7W 10.8N 34.5W 11.2N 37.5W
SHIP 25KTS 33KTS 44KTS 55KTS
DSHP 25KTS 33KTS 44KTS 55KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
040826 0000 040827 0000 040828 0000 040829 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 11.4N 38.6W 13.3N 41.8W 15.0N 43.6W 15.8N 45.0W
BAMM 11.7N 38.5W 13.4N 41.5W 15.2N 43.0W 16.2N 44.0W
A98E 11.1N 39.8W 11.6N 44.0W 11.8N 47.9W 11.6N 51.7W
LBAR 11.7N 40.6W 13.6N 45.6W 15.6N 48.4W 16.9N 49.3W
SHIP 65KTS 82KTS 89KTS 91KTS
DSHP 65KTS 82KTS 89KTS 91KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 10.2N LONCUR = 29.0W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR = 13KT
LATM12 = 9.7N LONM12 = 26.0W DIRM12 = 287DEG SPDM12 = 12KT
LATM24 = 9.1N LONM24 = 24.6W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1011MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD = 180NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

Showing less recurvature than this mornings run so interesting this going on.
Last edited by cycloneye on Mon Aug 23, 2004 10:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38264
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#2 Postby Brent » Mon Aug 23, 2004 9:59 pm

WOOHOO!!!!! Come on Frances!!!! :) :P
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148497
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#3 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 23, 2004 10:02 pm

Ships make it a hurricane in 4 days but of course too early to go that far.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38264
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#4 Postby Brent » Mon Aug 23, 2004 10:03 pm

cycloneye wrote:Ships make it a hurricane in 4 days but of course too early to go that far.


Correct me if I'm wrong, but it's showing 65 kts(which is a hurricane) in 48 hours and 89 kts in 4 days.

:?:
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148497
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#5 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 23, 2004 10:07 pm

Yes in 3 days a cane but again too early for an agressive intensity forecast yet.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
Guest

#6 Postby Guest » Mon Aug 23, 2004 10:25 pm

If it moves west I think it will come into a shearing enviroment. Notice the upper level low north of the islands has a north vortex and south vortex. Will this be the determining factor on its course?
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: cajungal, hurricanes1234, Teban54 and 64 guests