Persistant East Coast Trough Gone For Now?

[CalmBeforeStorm]

From looking at the long range GFS it appears that the persistant east coast trough is now gone and may be gone into at least labor day, just in time for the heart of the CV season. If this verifies then any CV systems will have a much better chance of getting further west and threatening the US Mainland.

[Derek Ortt]

If it verifies, there may be an increased threat for the EC. However, the trough did a very efficient job of bringing storms to the EC these past 2 weeks (Alex and Charley), so we'll have to wait and see just how this plays out

[PurdueWx80]

With the pattern change from trough east/ridge west to trough west/ridge east and the tropical "wave train" at such low latitudes, that implies the Gulf/Caribbean/Central America would be much more prone to tropical systems, as there would be no trough to recurve storms up the EC. That said, it doesn't mean a storm couldn't gain enough latitude to plow into the East Coast w/o recurving. Shortwave features can also play a big role in where storms go, and models aren't likely to pick those out a week (or more) ahead of time.

[Josephine96]

The drought of major hurricanes NOT hitting the US is now over with Charley and look at what he did to my area points north and south..

I'm still an avid fan of these wind machines.. but at least give me and my neighbors time to clean up before we get another 1..

I even heard reports from my congregation last night of people who lost everything..

[CalmBeforeStorm]

If it verifies, there may be an increased threat for the EC. However, the trough did a very efficient job of bringing storms to the EC these past 2 weeks (Alex and Charley), so we'll have to wait and see just how this plays out

But it's somewhat normal for early/mid august storms to move faster and lower then late august/september systems which is what put Charley in a position for the trough to curve it into the gulf coast.

[Josephine96]

Interesting thing about Charley too is that even when he kept bookin across the Atlantic.. he never showed real signs of losing his tropical nature.

Most storms {including Earl} lose their tropical characteristics when moving as fast as Charley did..