Very nice symmetrical CV wave.....

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dixiebreeze
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Very nice symmetrical CV wave.....

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Aug 19, 2004 11:04 am

at about 10 N this morning. Surprised it wasn't included in the TWO:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg
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#2 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 19, 2004 11:07 am

Remember it's Avila who is DR death. :) But seriously this wave looks very good and I will not be surprised if 96L invest is up this afternoon or evening.
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#3 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Aug 19, 2004 11:10 am

Luis, lol Avila. I agree, it really looks good this morning. This, from the 8:05 NHC Discussion:

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE BETWEEN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND THE COAST OF W
AFRICA ALONG 21W S OF 19N MOVING W 10-15 KT. HOVMOELLER
DIAGRAMS SHOW A DISTINCT CLUSTER OF TSTMS MOVING ACROSS W AFRICA
OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS...AND THE TIMESECTIONS FROM BAMAKO
AND DAKAR SHOW A WAVE PASSAGE PRIMARILY BELOW 800 MB. THE WAVE
APPEARS TO BE TILTED TO THE EAST WITH HEIGHT...WITH THE
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ABOUT 100 NM AHEAD OF THE CONVECTION...AND
THIS SEEMS TO AGREE WITH THE VERTICAL SOUNDINGS FROM W AFRICA.
VISIBLE IMAGERY FROM MET-8 ALSO SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION APPROACHING THE CAPE VERDES. NUMEROUS
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 19W-23.5W.
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#4 Postby mascpa » Thu Aug 19, 2004 11:12 am

I am also surprised as this wave continues to look good. We should keep an eye on this one to see what develops over the next 3 - 4 days.
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Derek Ortt

#5 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Aug 19, 2004 11:19 am

Actually, Avila's reputation of Dr Death is the FARTHEST from the truth and if anything, is 100 percent the opposite. From the things I've heard, noone gets more excited about a TC than does he
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#6 Postby Guest » Thu Aug 19, 2004 11:33 am

that wave is looking pretty good right now.
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#7 Postby KWT » Thu Aug 19, 2004 11:35 am

What exactly is a wave by the way?????
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#8 Postby Derecho » Thu Aug 19, 2004 11:50 am

The circulation of the wave is totally without convection, and is basically moving through the Cape Verde Islands.

The convection you do is is SOUTH of the circ in the ITCZ; there's no circ directly under the convection or anything.
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#9 Postby Aquawind » Thu Aug 19, 2004 11:57 am

Derecho wrote:The circulation of the wave is totally without convection, and is basically moving through the Cape Verde Islands.

The convection you do is is SOUTH of the circ in the ITCZ; there's no circ directly under the convection or anything.


Dang it Derecho!! Why did you have to show up today..lol I hate it when the facts don't support some dreamy development..lol :wink:
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#10 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Aug 19, 2004 12:55 pm

Yep, Aquawind, Derecho is so sensible and realistic -- 8-)
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#11 Postby Dave C » Thu Aug 19, 2004 12:56 pm

Check out my post on "west pac. activity" Aquawind if you want to see some action. This system is dev. rapidly and could threaten Guam or Saipan in 4-5 days.
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