5:30 PM TWO=No mention of east atlantic wave??

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cycloneye
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5:30 PM TWO=No mention of east atlantic wave??

#1 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 17, 2004 4:32 pm

Tropical Weather Outlook


Statement as of 5:30 PM EDT on August 17, 2004


For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Danielle...located in the eastern Atlantic about 1155 miles
southwest of the Azores Islands.

The remnants of Tropical Storm Earl are beginning to move inland
over Honduras and northern Nicaragua. Further development of this
system is not expected.

Elsewhere...tropical storm formation is not expected through
Wednesday.
Forecaster Franklin

$$



I can't believe that no word has comed out for wave at east atlantic.Look at link below.

Image
Last edited by cycloneye on Tue Aug 17, 2004 4:45 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#2 Postby rainstorm » Tue Aug 17, 2004 4:38 pm

plenty of time to watch it, unless its moving at 25+, hehe
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#3 Postby wx247 » Tue Aug 17, 2004 4:41 pm

Hmmm... that is interesting. Let's see what they have to say in the TWD this evening.
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Derek Ortt

#4 Postby Derek Ortt » Tue Aug 17, 2004 5:29 pm

It has zero organization; thus, no mention
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#5 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 17, 2004 5:38 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:It has zero organization; thus, no mention


But Derek at least some mention of it was in order.If I were a NHC forecaster my words were the following:

Clouds and showers are associated to a western moving tropical wave located around 700 miles SW of the Cape Verde islands.Currently there are no signs of getting organized at this time but it will be monitored for future signs of organization.
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#6 Postby Derek Ortt » Tue Aug 17, 2004 5:42 pm

If they feel its not a threat to develop, then it shouldn't be mentioned in the TWO. It should then be left for the TWD
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#7 Postby rainstorm » Tue Aug 17, 2004 5:45 pm

maybe they have seen too many moving too fast this season.
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#8 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 17, 2004 5:55 pm

But they haved in the past mentioned areas that eventually didn't developed so I dont really why at least a line about this wave was not posted at outlook.
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#9 Postby Dean4Storms » Tue Aug 17, 2004 6:51 pm

It should be at least mentioned. The TWO failed to mention Charley about 2 days before he became a TD. I don't think the NHC only mentions TW's when they think they may develop. If they do, they contradict themselves repeatedly.
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#10 Postby Dean4Storms » Tue Aug 17, 2004 6:54 pm

Bet it gets mentioned in tonights TWO.
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#11 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:00 pm

Still it is not organized as wave axis is behind of the convection as the TWD at 8 PM notes tonight.

Tropical wave is along 30w S of 17n moving W near 20 kt. Latest
IR satellite imagery shows convection W of the wave axis with
scattered moderate to strong convection from 8n-11n between
33w-36w.

This wave was mentioned as soon emerged africa a couple of days ago but this afternoon it is dropped from the TWO.
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#12 Postby Nimbus » Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 pm

The persistant convection has been rolling right along at what looks like better than 20 knots to me. Because of the faster than normal track speed rapid development is not likely.

I have been watching the "Bermuda high" that is currently over Florida and giving us some nice sleeping weather. The northern jetstream looks like it may keep that high a little south for a few days.
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#13 Postby Guest » Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:33 pm

After a very busy week last week @ NHC its nap time again..

ZZZZZzzzzz Theyre too tired to type that extra sentence.
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