East Atlantic Wave

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cycloneye
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East Atlantic Wave

#1 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 16, 2004 8:00 pm

Image

It may well have a very weak low embedded but tonight the convection is not solid at this point.Let's see as the wave moves westward thru the tropical atlantic if it gains convection and begins the proccess of organization but for now it will move west in a rapid pace yes another wave moving at 20kts now and the trend continues for the waves to track fast.
Last edited by cycloneye on Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:34 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 16, 2004 8:38 pm

Those who may think that Danielle and the wave are close to then interact not the case as Danielle is around 800 miles to the NW of the wave so no interaction.
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 17, 2004 6:14 am

This morning the wave looks pathetic with not too much convection.It has to gain plenty of convection before we can say it has a chance to develop.
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#4 Postby Guest » Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:07 am

If it develped it would probally follow its girlfriend on a North Atlantic cruise.. Now it will continue west.
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EAST ATLANTIC WAVE IS FIRING

#5 Postby OURAGAN » Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:31 am

The convection is growing
Look-at this links:

http://maps.weather.com/images/sat/tropsat_720x486.jpg
http://aviationweather.gov/data/obs/sat ... O-A_bw.jpg
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#6 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:33 am

Yes the convection is more now than in the past 24 hours but still it has to organize with a surface low but as the wave moves more westward it can improve in organization but it will be a slow proccess.
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#7 Postby Guest » Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:54 am

Beware not only AVN has this moving toward the Leeward Is. now the GFDL is on the bus. N.Leeward Is. your run of luck might be over.
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#8 Postby wx247 » Tue Aug 17, 2004 8:46 am

It is looking a *little* better this morning IMHO... not much, though.
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#9 Postby rbaker » Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:11 am

still looking pretty good at the time of my post around 10 n lat, chucking along that line. Could be our next player, and low enough lat to have enough island watchers.
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#10 Postby Three Blind Mice » Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:17 am

so this is not firing up???? If it's not I'm calling the Doc and getting my eyes checked.........

http://www.esl.lsu.edu/special_gifs/trop_lant4col.gif
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#11 Postby Nimbus » Tue Aug 17, 2004 12:33 pm

It could make the Leewards by Friday. My grid is huge but it looks like the forward speed has been around 30 mph and these waves have been slowing some as they move west.
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chadtm80

#12 Postby chadtm80 » Tue Aug 17, 2004 12:39 pm

Image
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Rainband

#13 Postby Rainband » Tue Aug 17, 2004 12:41 pm

Looks like a flareup
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#14 Postby Bluefrog » Tue Aug 17, 2004 1:42 pm

not a another one ......grrr
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#15 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 17, 2004 1:56 pm

Image

The wave has flared up nicely today after looking pathetic last night and early this morning.But it needs a surface low to get going so for now the watch game is on for it.
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#16 Postby bahamaswx » Tue Aug 17, 2004 2:02 pm

Moving very quickly...
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#17 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 17, 2004 2:29 pm

Yes it has to slow down to then have a chance.
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#18 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 17, 2004 2:45 pm

For those who may see the wave with deep convection and looking good do not look only at the convection but see if you see a good rotation with that convection.So far this wave has a weak MLC but no LLC.That is why no invest has been up for it so far but as soon a low at the surface is detected they will issue 96L.
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#19 Postby cajungal » Tue Aug 17, 2004 3:29 pm

Probably another fish.
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#20 Postby PurdueWx80 » Tue Aug 17, 2004 3:32 pm

cajungal wrote:Probably another fish.


What makes you say that? It is still moving west and the trough that caught Danielle is no longer digging. The wave is too far away to be caught in it, so another one would have to dig at some point to get it out of there. Doesn't look to happen anytime soon.
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