You know.......GOM

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KatDaddy
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You know.......GOM

#1 Postby KatDaddy » Mon Aug 16, 2004 6:09 pm

There is some disturbed weather in the S and SW GOM which has persisted. TW Earl will injecting some energy into the S GOM. Perhaps homegrown tropical weather.........thoughts to ponder.
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#2 Postby Dean4Storms » Mon Aug 16, 2004 6:15 pm

If Earl intensifies and takes the southern track as forecasted then the GOM will be shut down. But if Earl remains a TW and the northern extent does get into the GOM then it could be something to keep a sloppy eye on.
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#3 Postby Guest » Mon Aug 16, 2004 6:36 pm

Dean, I don't understand. If the GOM shuts down?? I hope you mean by shutting down by no system production. Hmm interesting.
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#4 Postby Dean4Storms » Mon Aug 16, 2004 7:08 pm

alxbrajo wrote:Dean, I don't understand. If the GOM shuts down?? I hope you mean by shutting down by no system production. Hmm interesting.


I'll explain, if you have a hurricane or even a TS over the Yucatan it creates an outflow around it's periphery which is descending air. This is why you often see clear weather immediately around a TC.
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#5 Postby Guest » Mon Aug 16, 2004 7:18 pm

AHHHH, I SEE..
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#6 Postby KatDaddy » Mon Aug 16, 2004 7:22 pm

Yeppers Dean. You pinned it perfectly. You see that with Pacific storms developing close to Mexico which also shutdown the SW and S GOM
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#7 Postby corpusbreeze » Mon Aug 16, 2004 8:42 pm

Im starting to think Earl wont make the GOM.
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#8 Postby goodlife » Tue Aug 17, 2004 6:53 am

corpusbreeze wrote:Im starting to think Earl wont make the GOM.


I think that's WONDERFUL news!!
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#9 Postby BayouVenteux » Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:23 am

corpusbreeze wrote:Im starting to think Earl wont make the GOM.
I dunno...watching a WV loop of the w Carib/CAm/GoMex this morning, it appears to me that the flow around the periphery of the high that has rocketed Earl westward into oblivion is positioned such that the remnants...and ATTM that's being generous...will round it via the Yucatan and into the BoC. However, IMHO, the end result currently looks to be enhanced rainfall possibilities for the NW and NC Gulf Coast and not much more. Also looks like that's what the GooFuS is currently forecasting in the early morning runs.

Fine by me. This freak October in August episode that's winding down has sucked every ounce of moisture out of the ground, so we could certainly use the rain.
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#10 Postby alicia-w » Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:31 am

i dont think we need the rain here. we have had 10 inches in the first two weeks of August!!
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GOM

#11 Postby Stormcenter » Tue Aug 17, 2004 8:05 am

alicia-w wrote:i dont think we need the rain here. we have had 10 inches in the first two weeks of August!!


The BOC looks interesting. There is no organization but alot
of convection. I think it's an area to watch for the remainder of this week especially if whatever is left of Earl makes it in there.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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