Look At That Outflow That Earl Already Has!!

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Hurricane Cheese
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Look At That Outflow That Earl Already Has!!

#1 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Sun Aug 15, 2004 11:25 am

That is some very impressive outflow showing that upper level winds are light across the Caribbean. Also the storm looks to have organized quite a bit on the Sat images over the past day.

Unfortunately, from what I've read from the Hurricane center and seeing the models, this storm, as of RIGHT NOW mind you, seems destined to become a major hurricane and threaten the gulf coast states.... :(


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg
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#2 Postby Hurricanehink » Sun Aug 15, 2004 2:28 pm

I don't know. Recon couldn't close off a center completely, and it isn't terribly organized. I hope it does nothing. No death, no tragedy. It is simply too soon after the last one... :( Well, we'll see...
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#3 Postby wx247 » Sun Aug 15, 2004 2:35 pm

Wow... it is moving @ 28 moh in the 2pm advisory. It needs to slow down. Also... it needs to move a little north of west or it is going to be a while before it strengthens.
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#4 Postby Rainband » Sun Aug 15, 2004 2:38 pm

It's creating it's own shear. If he doesn't slow down soon it will not organize, good news IMHO :wink:
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#5 Postby wx247 » Sun Aug 15, 2004 2:39 pm

Rainband wrote:If he doesn't slow down soon it will not organize, good news IMHO :wink:


It sure is.
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#6 Postby chris_fit » Sun Aug 15, 2004 2:41 pm

Looks like a Mid Level swirl to me
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#7 Postby Guest » Sun Aug 15, 2004 2:43 pm

Why are the majority of the waves moving so quickly? Hahahah, are they impatient to hit CONUS. hahaha
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#8 Postby KatDaddy » Sun Aug 15, 2004 2:43 pm

Lets hope Earl fades away due to fast speed. Its disconcerning to see such impressive outflow. This could still become quite a storm but I hope not.
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#9 Postby Anonymous » Sun Aug 15, 2004 2:43 pm

Yup lost of shear. Way too fast. Charley moved fast too, but not this fast. Nice outflow tho.
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Re: Look At That Outflow That Earl Already Has!!

#10 Postby Derecho » Sun Aug 15, 2004 2:48 pm

Hurricane Cheese wrote:
Unfortunately, from what I've read from the Hurricane center and seeing the models, this storm, as of RIGHT NOW mind you, seems destined to become a major hurricane and threaten the gulf coast states.... :(


As of this moment, most Earl models miss the United States, quite a few of them by a very large distance.
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#11 Postby Lowpressure » Sun Aug 15, 2004 2:54 pm

Recon had trouble closing Charley off at this point as well. The overall envelope looks similar.
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