AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!!!! This is very scary

[soonertwister]

It's weird that as "relatively" minor the hit by Bonnie was, there were at least three deaths attributed to that storm. I'm guessing that there may have been more.

From the looks of things, the U.S. may suffer a pretty serious hurricane season. Already we are off to a very ominous start. After landfalls by storms A, B and C, it would seem that we are going to be ground zero for canes this year, and that is not a comfortable spot.

I certainly hope that the lesson of Charley will help ensure fewer people staying in harm's way in the future, but I'm not optimistic that people in general adapt all that fast to the harsh realities that hurricanes can bring.

[Andrew92]

You know, I hope I don't sound any alarms, but since the beginning of 2002, I have been fearing a hurricane season coming with several landfalling hurricanes, including one or two majors, in the U.S.

1930 and 1931 saw back-to-back years without a U.S. hurricane strike, and then only two years later (1933), five hurricanes hit. Then in 1981 and 1982, two more back-to-back years without a hurricane strikes, and only three years later (1985), six hurricanes strike.

Now we're only three years past the year 2001, the second year in another set of back-to-back years without a hurricane strike. I've been hoping that what happened in 1933 and 1985 was just a coincidence, but could this year be another year just like those two for the U.S.? Man I hope not, but we've already had two, and it's not even September yet!

OK, I'll stop complaining now. However, the moral to this story is, be careful what you wish for.....remember how we were complaing about this being a boring season?

-Andrew92

[LCfromFL]

ChaserUK...

Here's a pretty good explanation of the MJO...

http://www-das.uwyo.edu/~geerts/cwx/not ... 2/mjo.html

[Guest]

FWIW, so far this season it's been a very anomalous pattern for not only early-fall weather but tropical systems. slight hints of la-nina mixed with large winter-like vortexes near canda, anything but zonal flow over the US, this summer has been baffling. keep watching

[x-y-no]

Blimey, that is one hell of a line up. I have heard people on here mention that its a dry MJO period at the moment making this even more unusual. Having not heard that term before could someone explain this MJO?

I'm not a pro and I've just recently been trying to get a grasp of this myself, but this site:

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/mjo_iso.html

has a lot of useful material in that regard.

[Brent]

Frances is coming offshore right now.