NHC 11 a.m. may be inaccurate

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Trader Ron
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#21 Postby Trader Ron » Fri Aug 13, 2004 10:36 am

Local MET in Naples just said Charley has a NNE component.
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Re: even stronger?

#22 Postby Air Force Met » Fri Aug 13, 2004 10:40 am

frederic79 wrote:Isnt' the windspeed in the right quadrant/eyewall a total of the sustained wind speed PLUS the forward speed of the storm? i.e. 110 mph + 18 mph = 128 mph?


Nope...that's just a myth. If it says 110 then its 110...unles of course the advisory is wrong :-)
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Has the NHC lost it at the critical moment?

#23 Postby Storminole » Fri Aug 13, 2004 11:15 am

Someone please step up to correct me if I am mistaken here. I probably don't know what I'm talking about. But it sure seems to me from viewing the TPC website that they just LOST IT in their 11 am report.

(1) The storm is still reported as heading due north, not NNE as is apparent in looking at the radar loops. More to the point, no mention of the greatly increased threat to Fort Myers and Port Charlotte.

(2) Dysfunctional posting on their website. Here shortly past noon, I still get the 5 a.m. Discussion by clicking on that link. Not a good show at a time when every hour is critical. And check out the latest charts they put up...the lines showing the path of the storm as it comes into Tampa aren't even there on both charts. Looks to me that they are unfinished yet were put up that way!

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphic ... 0908.shtml?

(3) Didn't they fail to report the strengthening of the storm as found by recon aircraft?

I could be wrong here and if so I apologize. Could someone more knowledgeable than me comment on these points?
Last edited by Storminole on Fri Aug 13, 2004 12:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#24 Postby cebers01 » Fri Aug 13, 2004 11:16 am

I said in an earlier post, that the eye was deepening, and seems to have stayed tighter since leaving the DT Isl. this morning...
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#25 Postby Guest » Fri Aug 13, 2004 12:01 pm

They just released a special report on our local news that Charley is a Cat 3.
...Jennifer...
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