The tropical wave several hundred miles to the east of the Lesser Antilles (95L) is also organizing, but any further development should be slower than 94L due to strong southerly shear a few hundred miles to the west of it.
Active, active times...
TD#4 is almost official ...
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
-
Hyperstorm
- Category 5
- Posts: 1500
- Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 3:48 am
- Location: Ocala, FL
TD#4 is almost official ...
Latest visible images indicate that the tropical wave in the E. Atlantic (94L) has developed a SURFACE circulation and is located near 13N 21W. It is moving toward the West about 15-20mph. Convection exploded overnight leaving a partially exposed center on its NE side. Development into a tropical depression seems likely today. In fact, it already is a depression "unofficially" with 30mph winds.
The tropical wave several hundred miles to the east of the Lesser Antilles (95L) is also organizing, but any further development should be slower than 94L due to strong southerly shear a few hundred miles to the west of it.
Active, active times...
The tropical wave several hundred miles to the east of the Lesser Antilles (95L) is also organizing, but any further development should be slower than 94L due to strong southerly shear a few hundred miles to the west of it.
Active, active times...
Last edited by Hyperstorm on Fri Aug 13, 2004 4:00 am, edited 3 times in total.
0 likes
-
Hyperstorm
- Category 5
- Posts: 1500
- Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 3:48 am
- Location: Ocala, FL
-
Hyperstorm
- Category 5
- Posts: 1500
- Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 3:48 am
- Location: Ocala, FL
bahamaswx wrote:A no-brainer that this one would become TD4. It was quite obvious almost 24 hours ago.
Exactly, I said it yesterday, but I'm making the almost official call now. The only thing that was missing was a SURFACE circulation and an intense blowup of convection, which all happened during the night.
0 likes
-
Hyperstorm
- Category 5
- Posts: 1500
- Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 3:48 am
- Location: Ocala, FL
000
ABNT20 KNHC 130904
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS/TPC NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
CHARLEY...LOCATED ABOUT 85 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION APPEARS TO BE
FORMING ABOUT 240 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. IF
THIS DEVELOPING TREND CONTINUES...ADVISORIES WILL BE INITIATED
LATER TODAY.
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL
WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1275 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS HAVE
BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL
FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
ABNT20 KNHC 130904
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS/TPC NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
CHARLEY...LOCATED ABOUT 85 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION APPEARS TO BE
FORMING ABOUT 240 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. IF
THIS DEVELOPING TREND CONTINUES...ADVISORIES WILL BE INITIATED
LATER TODAY.
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL
WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1275 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS HAVE
BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL
FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
0 likes
-
Hyperstorm
- Category 5
- Posts: 1500
- Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 3:48 am
- Location: Ocala, FL
It is now official acording to NRL site its a noname now
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... YLE=tables
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... YLE=tables
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: tolakram and 507 guests