SE Florida? No warnings!

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KBBOCA
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SE Florida? No warnings!

#1 Postby KBBOCA » Thu Aug 12, 2004 7:05 pm

All, it really surprises me that there are not even Tropical Storm warnings for SE Florida (PB, Broward, Dade).

Charley seems to have turned slightly more northward (8 p.m. advisory says movement is NNW) and based on the following water vapor image, I am really concerned that the front is coming farther faster than expected and is going to push Charley NE sooner.

Am I crazy to be so concerned? I'm actually far away from my Boca home, so I'm not -removed- here. Just concerned for other family members and friends in the area who might be lulled into a false sense of complacency by the lack of ANY warnings in the area.

Thoughts please!
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#2 Postby KBBOCA » Thu Aug 12, 2004 7:06 pm

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#3 Postby tracyz » Thu Aug 12, 2004 7:09 pm

There is a TS watch in Northern Palm Beach County in my neck of the woods, I am three miles South of Jupiter Inlet. The watch starts at Jupiter Inlet and goes North. I think that is a huge mistake at this point. Better to be safe then sorry.
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#4 Postby seaswing » Thu Aug 12, 2004 7:12 pm

I could swear that I saw TWC graphic that showed SE FL under a tropical storm watch - yellow.
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#5 Postby tracyz » Thu Aug 12, 2004 7:16 pm

Seaswing you did see yellow. That's the Jupiter Inlet north. The rest of Palm Beach, Broward & Miami Dade counties have no watches or warnings.
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#6 Postby Stormsfury » Thu Aug 12, 2004 7:17 pm

Last light visible indicated that it is indeed still moving NNW ...
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#7 Postby spaceisland » Thu Aug 12, 2004 7:21 pm

I'll go on record that Charlie will go N and then to NE sooner rather than later... I'm thinking Sanibel.... one of our favorite vacation spots, could be "ground zero". The fact that it is an island with a unique east-west orientation makes it great for shelling... and not good for hurricanes coming at an acute angle to the coast...
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#8 Postby KBBOCA » Thu Aug 12, 2004 7:22 pm

Here's a map with watches warnings. I know I saw a better one somewhere, but can't find it again. This looks like MOST of PB County & Broward and perhaps most of Miami-Dade have no warnings, but it's hard to tell exactly.

http://www.palmbeachpost.com/storm/cont ... rning.html
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#9 Postby HeatherAKC » Thu Aug 12, 2004 7:24 pm

I thought about this earlier, but my inital feeling is that the NHC has a pretty good handle on this one and feel we are out of harms way. Although I do not look forward to the AM and PM commutes in rainy and squally weather!

But it seems like such a tiny problem compared to the problems our friends to the west face.....
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#10 Postby rainydaze » Thu Aug 12, 2004 7:29 pm

Well, their confidence must be pretty high to give no warnings to Miami, Dade, and 98% of Palm Beach County.

The NHC will have alot of explaining to do if Charley comes in at Fort Myers or anywhere south of there IMHO.

Let's hope Charley does what he's supposed to and goes to the people who have had the most warning and most time to prepare. At this point, short of Charley just mysteriously dissapating, that would be the best case scenario.
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#11 Postby tracyz » Thu Aug 12, 2004 7:37 pm

I hope your right rainydaze because I can tell you no one here in Palm Beach County that I know is even concerned at this point.
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as a north PBC-er

#12 Postby Weatherboy1 » Thu Aug 12, 2004 7:52 pm

I'm one of the "no worries" Palm Beach County people. While Irene was an obvious screw-up (the storm moved well east of the model forecasts and the NHC track), I just don't see that happening this time. I haven't bothered stocking up on supplies (beyond what I already have from June), and truly believe we'll have nothing more than 30 mph winds and a lot of rain. Hopefully, I won't feel like an idiot tomorrow. Also, it's worth pointing out that everyone here is pretty confident we won't have big problems. My work is open and my daughter's day care is open since the PBC schools didn't close for Friday.
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#13 Postby rainydaze » Thu Aug 12, 2004 7:52 pm

Guess what Tracy? I saw that you were in Juno and I'm in Palm Beach Gardens. Then I noticed I never changed my city. I moved from West Palm Beach to Palm Beach Gardens 9 months ago!

Anyway, you are definetly right, no preparations around here.
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Here in PB County

#14 Postby Stormelf » Thu Aug 12, 2004 7:54 pm

Well, according to what I just saw on the NWS, we have a flood watch, and will soon have a tornado watch. Is that sufficient? I certainly hope so. I didn't buy all that much water...people were certainly buying supplies, not much, but some, like batteries, water. Talk today was, I'd say, wary optimism, but everyone I know is certainly watching the radar and satellite images....
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#15 Postby tracyz » Thu Aug 12, 2004 7:59 pm

rainydaze, you are practically my neighbor...for now at least. we are moving to a house in the acreage in 3 weeks. I timed it yesterday 22 min from our house to Prosperity Farms Rd. Right now we are not even a mile from the coast.
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