What Are The Models Saying About Charley's Future Intensity?

[Hurricane Cheese]

First off I just want to say how great it is to have found a board to talk about weather!

I have a question about what the major forecasting models are saying about the future intensity of Charely.

Now, I've seen tonight that the GFDL (which I believe is the model the NHC is trusting the most as far as the TRACK is involved) brings Charely to 130-135 mph just off the SW FL coast!

I'm curious as to what the other models, aside from the GFDL, are saying about Charley's evolving intensity? If someone could please post what wind speeds the models are forecasting for Charley when he'll be of the SW FL coast I'd greatly appreciate it!

Personally, I'm concered, as many are here, about rapid intensification as the storm goes through the hot waters of the NW Carribean and SE gulf. If the storms blows up fast, we could be dealing with a monster no doubt.

Right now, I'm conservatively thinking that Charely will be to SW FL what Hurricane Fran was to North Carolina in 1996. That is, a major hurricane of about 115 mph capable of extensive-extreme destruction.

But what are the other models saying about intensity!?!?!

[Hurricane Cheese]

Any late nighters up with me here that have this info?

[NC George]

Remember the GFDL windspeed displayed is at 950 mb level, the 10m windspeed averages 15-25% less, and the ground windspeed will be even less than that. So, if you do the math, it works out to around a 100kt windspeed, nothing to sneeze at, but not 135kt.

What I found curious was looking at the windspeed for Bonnie, it supposedly gets stronger all the way into NC (higher windspeed there than at landfall.)

[rainstorm]

well, charley will have to go through lots of shear in the gom, unless that lets up