Bonnie getting wiped off the map?

[Hyperstorm]

I guess we didn't learn anything from last night. She will go into the Panhandle a strong TS IMO..

lastest still shows convection once again firing

I'm REALLY glad you brought that up. I was about to. No, many didn't learn anything from last night. The system indeed is ONCE AGAIN refiring convection. Whatever the reason is for the current phase, it WON'T LAST. Minimal hurricane at landfall is quite possible.

[Stormcenter]

I guess we didn't learn anything from last night. She will go into the Panhandle a strong TS IMO..

lastest still shows convection once again firing ..

Yeah I think you're right MdWx.

[Stormsfury]

Bonnie is picking up forward speed and should reduce speed shear ... at least, briefly ... we're now beginning to see what appears to be some dynamical effects beginning to take shape over Bonnie, so the bursting phases definitely look to continue ...

SF

[soonertwister]

Yep, that 25kt FL wind was north of the center - and Bonnie's never had any wind north of the center. Max winds are probably around 35-40 kts south and east of the center now in a few squalls. Max wind in other quadrants is probably 15-20 kts.

It's amazing that the only system that has had demonstrably vigorous circulation is being ignored while getting close to land.

In the meantime Charley, is bigger, and is getting all the press. I am just now beginning to understand the ability of humans to deny the truth of what is at hand.

But don't worry about Bonnie. She'll never be a hurricane, she's never been one.

There is some serious delusion running rampant around here. Check out the deadliest storms and find out what they have in common. Please?


And some wizard out here who wants to enhance his/her status, please answer this one question:

What percentage of tropical storms kills over 95% of those who succumb to their pwer?

[rainstorm]

yikes

[LilNoles2004]

Sooner, lmao!

[wxman57]

Max surface wind 32kts at 0118Z. Latest vortex has pressure up to 1010mb and max FL wind 39kts. Some hurricane.

URNT14 KNHC 120118
SUPPLEMENTARY VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
01286 10904 12512 11813 99005
02285 20902 22511 21814 99005
03283 30900 32514 31714 99005
04281 40898 42514 41714 99005
05279 50896 52511 51714 99005
06277 60894 62507 61716 05011
07276 70892 72502 71814 06014
08274 80891 82498 81814 99005
09271 90889 92492 91815 99005
MF269 M0888 MF025
OBS 01 AT 2316Z
OBS 09 AT 2353Z
OBS 01 SFC WND 99005
01267 10886 12496 12014 26032
02265 20884 22506 21814 23028
03264 30882 32512 31914 24029
04262 40880 42518 41914 23029
05260 50878 52524 51814 23026
06258 60876 62528 61914 23023
07257 70875 72530 71815 24023
MF264 M0883 MF033
OBS 01 AT 0039Z
OBS 07 AT 0104Z
OBS 07 SFC WND /////
RMK AF963 0902A BONNIE OB 06

[Hyperstorm]

The system has waned tonight, I don't deny that (just as it did last night), but to say the system is dead or is dying, that's not true. Tomorrow morning the system should strengthen. It will all depend on how much time it has for it to attain hurricane status.

[rainstorm]

its a depression

[dixiebreeze]

I wish she would fish or cut bait ---- preferably cut bait.

[weatherlover427]

To all you pessimists who are writing it off again: What is that red starting to pop in the middle? It wasn't there an hour or two ago...

[HalloweenGale]

shes gonna hit the"strip" where garunteed any T.S. will turn into a urricane

[tallywx]

Bonnie has become absolutely pathetic. Max. flight level winds on the very last pass in the NE quad were 32 kts, with a central pressure of 1010 mb. The closest convection is actually far east of the center (that blossoming convection is around 87.8W while the storm's center is at 88.5W). I doubt that any recovery can occur in light of strong upper-level winds.