Is it just me or is........

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Windtalker
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Is it just me or is........

#1 Postby Windtalker » Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:43 pm

Bonnie heading more east the last few frames?http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html
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#2 Postby Typhoon_Willie » Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:45 pm

Link does not work...
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try this one

#3 Postby Windtalker » Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:47 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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#4 Postby vbhoutex » Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:51 pm

Word of caution here. don't use ir sat pics to determine which way a storm is heading. It is a picture of cloud tops and not actual visible clouds. Tops move differently than the whole mass of clouds underneath them. Not disagreeing, just saying use your visibles(at least during the day) to determine direction of movement if you want to check it on sat pics.
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#5 Postby Typhoon_Willie » Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:51 pm

Looks like an ENE jog to me!
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#6 Postby fwbbreeze » Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:52 pm

does appear to have more of an eastward component to it, I still believe the center is moving more NE than ENE....but this could change!!
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#7 Postby Dean4Storms » Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:52 pm

Yes, she has moved more eastward than anticipated. We will have to see if this is just a wobble or an actual overall direction. If so, they will have to move watches/warnings further eastward and down the peninsula toward Tampa, FL.
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#8 Postby Typhoon_Willie » Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:52 pm

Good idea VBhoutex!
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#9 Postby Dean4Storms » Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:55 pm

vbhoutex wrote:Word of caution here. don't use ir sat pics to determine which way a storm is heading. It is a picture of cloud tops and not actual visible clouds. Tops move differently than the whole mass of clouds underneath them. Not disagreeing, just saying use your visibles(at least during the day) to determine direction of movement if you want to check it on sat pics.



It did move more ene, last coordinates were 25.9n 90.3w and now 26.2n 89.5w You can easily see the ene movement on a tracking chart, although it could be just a wobble or re-position of the center. If I remember correctly Earl kept doing this which eventually moved him into a landfall east of PC.
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#10 Postby vbhoutex » Wed Aug 11, 2004 2:31 pm

Can't argue with those numbers Dean. I still stand by my caution about the sat pics though.
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#11 Postby Stephanie » Wed Aug 11, 2004 2:32 pm

You made a good point David though!
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#12 Postby tallywx » Wed Aug 11, 2004 2:36 pm

And the very latest recon put her at 26.6N, 89.45W, so perhaps the ENE jog has ended.
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