What the HECK?

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What the HECK?

#1 Postby Guest » Wed Aug 11, 2004 8:24 am

Looking at the projected tracks of these two systems they will pass over / near Raleigh-Durham (among a host of other places...) within 24 hours of each other. The projected path of Charley calls for it to be a TS over central Carolina. Thank goodness they will traveling fast...the implications of these tracks isn't good.

Since you all are the experts, what are your thoughts about the implications? What's the worst case scenario?

Thanks Y'aw!
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#2 Postby The Dark Knight » Wed Aug 11, 2004 8:27 am

Well I am a bit concerned.... The NOGAPS and UKMET hint that both of the storms could collide and become one huge storm... The "storm" continues to followthe forecasted track for Charley...
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#3 Postby Dean4Storms » Wed Aug 11, 2004 8:28 am

Right now I would suspect you guys wouldn't get any winds over 40-50 mph with squalls but you also have to take in account rainfall and possible tornado's.
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#4 Postby Anonymous » Wed Aug 11, 2004 8:30 am

Dean4Storms wrote:Right now I wouldn't suspect you guys wouldn't get any winds over 40-50 mph with squalls but you also have to take in account rainfall and possible tornado's.


If either storm is strong enough and fast enough they could get higher winds than 50mph in Raleigh and the NE.
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#5 Postby Guest » Wed Aug 11, 2004 8:31 am

Thanks guys. Dean, I'm concerned about Raleigh-Durham b/c like FRAN in 1996 the ground is saturated and winds of 40 MPH will bring down trees under these conditions. Maybe it's good that they will moving quickly? BTW, I read/heard once that you can add the speed of the forward motion of a storm to overall wind speed? Is this true?
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#6 Postby Guest » Wed Aug 11, 2004 8:32 am

look at opal and hugo to decipher the inland details... it all depends on the landfall point and intensity. cat4 on the panhandle, moving 20mph. yea, hurricane force winds will be felt way far inland... ala hugo...
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#7 Postby Brent » Wed Aug 11, 2004 8:34 am

I'd be MUCH more concerned with inland flooding than winds in NC.
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#8 Postby Dean4Storms » Wed Aug 11, 2004 8:37 am

I lived in Hickory, NC for 5-6 yrs back in the 80's so I am well aware of the flooding potential up there. This is an evolving situation and best thing is to prepare for the worst and hope for the best like I'm doing down here in the Panhandle. The center of Bonnie is expected to landfall 10 miles to my east so I'm going to prepare for hurricane conditions in the morning and hope for the best.
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#9 Postby Stephanie » Wed Aug 11, 2004 8:41 am

NJ/PA/DE/MD has already had ALOT of flooding this summer. This is NOT GOOD! :(
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converging storms...

#10 Postby cebers01 » Wed Aug 11, 2004 8:41 am

I'm guessing that the storm totals here in and around Charlotte will largely depend on exact tracks... It seems that the computer models have a hard time getting a bullseye on the storm track of a strengthening storm, such as Bonnie, and I'm thinking that it's actual track will play a part in Charley's advance northward inland since it will be riding a path cleared by Bonnie once it get's inland a bit. The amount of water already laying around in the Southeast from rain over the last 24 hours, plus what Bonnie leaves behind, will give plenty of humidty to help Charley breathe, even when he comes inland...

Just gotta see how strong the winds aloft are in turning these two storms, and since they both seem to be gaining a head of steam, I got a gut feeling they may have to tracks west a bit before it's over...

Curtis
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#11 Postby Suncat » Wed Aug 11, 2004 8:45 am

The revised path now has Charlie passing over Florida and entering the Gulf Stream before hitting South Carolina. This raises the possibility that the storm could reintensify to hurricane strength before making the second landfall. :eek:
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#12 Postby Guest » Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:36 pm

WHAT?! :eek: Making landfall in New England?
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#13 Postby NC George » Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:55 pm

No, making landfall in SC/NC broder area! Bonnie is presently scheduled to pass west, and Charlie may go directly overhead. Lucky me. When was the last time the first three named storms all affected NC?
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#14 Postby HeartofNC » Wed Aug 11, 2004 1:02 pm

Always be prepared! No matter where ya live! Get your things together now. Chain saws water etc... (and say your prayers ;) )
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#15 Postby RevDodd » Wed Aug 11, 2004 1:07 pm

HeartofNC wrote:Always be prepared! No matter where ya live! Get your things together now. Chain saws water etc... (and say your prayers ;) )


Yep! It's a good time to start making as much ice as your freezer will hold. If nothing happens, you're none the worse for it. Learned that little lesson during Fran.
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#16 Postby Tommedic » Wed Aug 11, 2004 1:10 pm

My question is: When did the first 3 tropical systems all become hurricanes and the all hit US.
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#17 Postby RevDodd » Wed Aug 11, 2004 1:16 pm

Tommedic wrote:My question is: When did the first 3 tropical systems all become hurricanes and the all hit US.


Dang, that's a good question! Lemme take a look...
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#18 Postby RevDodd » Wed Aug 11, 2004 1:27 pm

Tommedic wrote:My question is: When did the first 3 tropical systems all become hurricanes and the all hit US.


Best I can tell, it's never happened since hurricanes were given names. I'll keep looking back from then.
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#19 Postby HurricaneGirl » Wed Aug 11, 2004 1:32 pm

Interesting question!
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#20 Postby Pebbles » Wed Aug 11, 2004 1:35 pm

RevDodd wrote:
Tommedic wrote:My question is: When did the first 3 tropical systems all become hurricanes and the all hit US.


Best I can tell, it's never happened since hurricanes were given names. I'll keep looking back from then.


I asked this question in another thread..but boards are so busy it keeps getting bumped down ..maybe you can also answer the 2nd question i asked in the same post..which was have 2 named storms hit the US within 24 hours? If so how many hours apart?
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