Is it just me or is........

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Windtalker
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 118
Joined: Wed Oct 15, 2003 7:02 pm
Location: Hollywood, Florida

Is it just me or is........

#1 Postby Windtalker » Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:43 pm

Bonnie heading more east the last few frames?http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Typhoon_Willie
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1042
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 3:19 pm
Location: Greenacres City, Florida

#2 Postby Typhoon_Willie » Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:45 pm

Link does not work...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Windtalker
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 118
Joined: Wed Oct 15, 2003 7:02 pm
Location: Hollywood, Florida

try this one

#3 Postby Windtalker » Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:47 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
vbhoutex
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 29133
Age: 74
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
Location: Cypress, TX
Contact:
Contact vbhoutex

#4 Postby vbhoutex » Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:51 pm

Word of caution here. don't use ir sat pics to determine which way a storm is heading. It is a picture of cloud tops and not actual visible clouds. Tops move differently than the whole mass of clouds underneath them. Not disagreeing, just saying use your visibles(at least during the day) to determine direction of movement if you want to check it on sat pics.
0 likes   
Skywarn, C.E.R.T.
Please click below to donate to STORM2K to help with the expenses of keeping the site going:
Image
Top
User avatar
Typhoon_Willie
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1042
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 3:19 pm
Location: Greenacres City, Florida

#5 Postby Typhoon_Willie » Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:51 pm

Looks like an ENE jog to me!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
fwbbreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 897
Joined: Sun Mar 21, 2004 10:09 pm
Location: Fort Walton Beach, FL

#6 Postby fwbbreeze » Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:52 pm

does appear to have more of an eastward component to it, I still believe the center is moving more NE than ENE....but this could change!!
0 likes   
Top
Dean4Storms
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6358
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
Location: Miramar Bch. FL

#7 Postby Dean4Storms » Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:52 pm

Yes, she has moved more eastward than anticipated. We will have to see if this is just a wobble or an actual overall direction. If so, they will have to move watches/warnings further eastward and down the peninsula toward Tampa, FL.
0 likes   
My opinion and statements DO NOT represent the opinion of the EMA, NHC, NWS, or any other professional agency, organization, or group. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Typhoon_Willie
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1042
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 3:19 pm
Location: Greenacres City, Florida

#8 Postby Typhoon_Willie » Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:52 pm

Good idea VBhoutex!
0 likes   
Top
Dean4Storms
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6358
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
Location: Miramar Bch. FL

#9 Postby Dean4Storms » Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:55 pm

vbhoutex wrote:Word of caution here. don't use ir sat pics to determine which way a storm is heading. It is a picture of cloud tops and not actual visible clouds. Tops move differently than the whole mass of clouds underneath them. Not disagreeing, just saying use your visibles(at least during the day) to determine direction of movement if you want to check it on sat pics.



It did move more ene, last coordinates were 25.9n 90.3w and now 26.2n 89.5w You can easily see the ene movement on a tracking chart, although it could be just a wobble or re-position of the center. If I remember correctly Earl kept doing this which eventually moved him into a landfall east of PC.
0 likes   
My opinion and statements DO NOT represent the opinion of the EMA, NHC, NWS, or any other professional agency, organization, or group. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
vbhoutex
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 29133
Age: 74
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
Location: Cypress, TX
Contact:
Contact vbhoutex

#10 Postby vbhoutex » Wed Aug 11, 2004 2:31 pm

Can't argue with those numbers Dean. I still stand by my caution about the sat pics though.
0 likes   
Skywarn, C.E.R.T.
Please click below to donate to STORM2K to help with the expenses of keeping the site going:
Image
Top
User avatar
Stephanie
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23843
Age: 63
Joined: Thu Feb 06, 2003 9:53 am
Location: Glassboro, NJ

#11 Postby Stephanie » Wed Aug 11, 2004 2:32 pm

You made a good point David though!
0 likes   
Top
tallywx
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 798
Joined: Thu Jul 03, 2003 10:19 am
Location: Raleigh/Durham, NC

#12 Postby tallywx » Wed Aug 11, 2004 2:36 pm

And the very latest recon put her at 26.6N, 89.45W, so perhaps the ENE jog has ended.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 151 guests