00:00 UTC Models=More right shift.

[Rainband]

Just a tad stressed at this moment apology extended

[Ixolib]

It will shift left if he slow down because if he slow down, that will give the trough more time to come down and then lift out then the high will start to build in and push it more west and it will also intensify more.

Being more of a watcher than a poster (you can see how NEW I am in this post) and not having not much more than a general interest, I'm wondering what kinds of conditions might exist that would slow Charley down? BTW... The amout of knowledge on this board is AMAZING. Some very smart folks!!

[Aquawind]

Aqua could be a lot worse than Gabby..

Absolutely..Even if it is a hurricane making landfall south and heading right up the middle of the peninsula we could have Gabby winds..less beach erosion though..But it is forecast to be stronger than Gabby and if it is west.. even 100 miles the coast will take a nasty beating..Oh great Dr Landesa just mentioned how lucky we have been in west Florida..

[Trader Ron]

Can i say we are long overdue?

[Rainband]

000
FXUS62 KTBW 110148
AFDTBW

WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
945 PM EDT TUE AUG 10 2004

.CURRENT/SHORT TERM...AFTERNOON AND EVENING CONVECTION WAS SPARSE
WITH LOWER MOISTURE AND SUBSIDENCE UNDER WESTERLY FLOW. AREA OF RAIN
IS APPROACHING NORTHERN COUNTIES FROM THE WEST BUT LITTLE/NO
CONVECTION. UPDATED FORECASTS FOR LATEST TRACK OF CHARLEY.
WILL KEEP MORNING FOG IN FORECAST.


&&

.MARINE...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WATERS
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY SOUTHWEST
WIND FLOW ALONG WITH SEAS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE AS TROPICAL CYCLONE
BONNIE MOVES N-NEWD OVER THE CENTRAL GULF WATERS. DURING FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY WIND/SEAS WILL INCREASE AS BONNIE MOVES
NORTHEAST. AND CHARLEY COMES COMES INTO THE PICTURE. ALL
MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF BOTH
BONNIE AND CHARLEY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

&&


.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

[Aquawind]

Can i say we are long overdue?

LOL..That would be one of my most UNliked Hurricane phrases..

Tracy all I can say is make some calls and get a local hurricane evacuation proceedure for Your location.. Relax, prepare and be aware..

http://www.news-press.com/news/weather/ ... ation.html

[HurricaneQueen]

If it turns into a major cane, which way would we head???? I am going to end up being alone with 2 young children

I've always planned on heading east and then going up the middle of the state if a major hurricane approaches from the Gulf, avoiding I-95 at all costs.

If it's a Cat 3 or less we have a CBS house in Bonita that's all boarded up and ready for us and the animals. (Our condo is 1/4 from the water and built of wood. Whatever was I thinking when we bought here?) Obviously, we're outta here!

I don't envy you with two small children to contend with. It's bad enough with one other large person and two very little animals. Maybe we'll get lucky again this time! There's still a lot of time and variables for Charley to do almost anything. No need to panic yet.

Lynn

[Trader Ron]

Aqua,

I said that tongue in cheek..lol.

[Colin]

Oh...my...God. Some of those tracks for Bonnie take it right over my house - and Charley is very close here as well. Flooding could be disastrous here...extremely disastrous.

[Guest]

how is a old dying rainstormm VERY bad news? You wanna put a sock in the hype please?

Very bad news for Cape Cod......

[chadtm80]

how is a old dying rainstormm VERY bad news? You wanna put a sock in the hype please?

Very bad news for Cape Cod......

When your done with that sock Dark Knight could you let DT use it?

[HurricaneBill]

how is a old dying rainstormm VERY bad news? You wanna put a sock in the hype please?

Ever hear of Hurricane Hazel or Hurricane Diane?

I know where I'd like to stick a sock.