00:00 UTC Models=More right shift.

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cycloneye
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00:00 UTC Models=More right shift.

#1 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 10, 2004 7:55 pm

http://net-waves.com/weather/modelplot.htm

Take a look at those tracks that are worrisom for many people especially if this thing explodes into a major cane.
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#2 Postby tracyswfla » Tue Aug 10, 2004 7:56 pm

Omg.
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#3 Postby TheWeatherZone » Tue Aug 10, 2004 7:57 pm

The majority of them take Charley into SC after a FL landfall. Now "assuming" this is the path he takes, the question as to what if any strengthening will take place as he heads towards the SE coast.

Mike~
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#4 Postby Brent » Tue Aug 10, 2004 7:59 pm

VERY VERY BAD!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! :eek: :eek: :eek:

Image
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#5 Postby Stormsfury » Tue Aug 10, 2004 8:00 pm

TheWeatherZone wrote:The majority of them take Charley into SC after a FL landfall. Now "assuming" this is the path he takes, the question as to what if any strengthening will take place as he heads towards the SE coast.

Mike~


And how rapid the FWD movement will be ...

A slower moving storm poses a flooding threat to the Eastern Carolinas .. a faster moving system poses a threat for potential strong tropical storm force winds (highly dependant on Charley's STR) ... and the NE quad will always have the threat for severe weather/scattered (mostly short-lived and relatively weak) tornadoes ...
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#6 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Tue Aug 10, 2004 8:01 pm

:eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:
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#7 Postby kittcat » Tue Aug 10, 2004 8:02 pm

It looks to me like the models are generally clustered in the same area and shift more to the right with each run. I suppose the trof will be really strong. Very odd for August.
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#8 Postby Aquawind » Tue Aug 10, 2004 8:05 pm

tracyswfla wrote:Omg.


Right side will take the worst surge and erosion..landfall or not.. it's looking messy here.. :eek:
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#9 Postby The Dark Knight » Tue Aug 10, 2004 8:09 pm

Very bad news for Cape Cod......
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#10 Postby HurricaneQueen » Tue Aug 10, 2004 8:14 pm

Very bad news for SW FL. Right , Aquawind???? Tracy????? When do we head for the hills? :wink: . For those of you who don't know FL geography we don't have hills in S. FL.
Last edited by HurricaneQueen on Tue Aug 10, 2004 8:17 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#11 Postby NJCane » Tue Aug 10, 2004 8:15 pm

The entire Northern half of the east coast is very vulnerable due to the fact that it has been a long time since a substantial storm (hurricane or nor'easter) has struck the coast. With massive population growth and more building going on, it could be bad, real bad. Oh, and by the way the new moon is on Sunday so tides will already be above normal- should be interesting...
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#12 Postby TerryAlly » Tue Aug 10, 2004 8:18 pm

FIRST OFF ... very BAD for Jamaica and Cuba!!!
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#13 Postby Weather4Life23 » Tue Aug 10, 2004 8:22 pm

If Charley happens to slow down, then im sure its possible that the forecast tracks will shift some to the left also.
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#14 Postby lilbump3000 » Tue Aug 10, 2004 8:30 pm

It will shift left if he slow down because if he slow down, that will give the trough more time to come down and then lift out then the high will start to build in and push it more west and it will also intensify more.
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#15 Postby Aquawind » Tue Aug 10, 2004 8:31 pm

TerryAlly wrote:FIRST OFF ... very BAD for Jamaica and Cuba!!!


Well Said.. :wink:


You know it HQ! Looking messy here either way..I would think similar to Gabby like conditions in the LEAST..Were talking flooding and coastal erosion..Fortunately my wife is in South Dakota freezing in the 50's till Sunday.. :lol: So it will be just me and the dogs riding out anything but a Major.. :wink:
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#16 Postby tracyswfla » Tue Aug 10, 2004 8:31 pm

HurricaneQueen wrote:Very bad news for SW FL. Right , Aquawind???? Tracy????? When do we head for the hills? :wink: . For those of you who don't know FL geography we don't have hills in S. FL.



I am not happy about this. We have no where to go! ugghhhhhh!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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#17 Postby Rainband » Tue Aug 10, 2004 8:32 pm

lilbump3000 wrote:It will shift left if he slow down because if he slow down, that will give the trough more time to come down and then lift out then the high will start to build in and push it more west and it will also intensify more.
are you wishing or guessing. Don't get me wrong I hope that happens but I will go with the NHC..so i am not caught off guard :wink:
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#18 Postby tracyswfla » Tue Aug 10, 2004 8:33 pm

Aquawind wrote:
TerryAlly wrote:FIRST OFF ... very BAD for Jamaica and Cuba!!!


Well Said.. :wink:


You know it HQ! Looking messy here either way..I would think similar to Gabby like conditions in the LEAST..Were talking flooding and coastal erosion..Fortunately my wife is in South Dakota freezing in the 50's till Sunday.. :lol: So it will be just me and the dogs riding out anything but a Major.. :wink:


Ok Aqua. If it turns into a major cane, which way would we head???? I am going to end up being alone with 2 young children :cry:
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#19 Postby Trader Ron » Tue Aug 10, 2004 8:33 pm

Aqua could be a lot worse than Gabby..
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#20 Postby lilbump3000 » Tue Aug 10, 2004 8:34 pm

Im not wishing or guessing anything, i just saying that that will more likely happen if it was the case for him to slow down.

Im wishing, you need to check some of the other members on this board who are wishing.
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