Crazy?

[DESTRUCTION5]

Bastardi says Texas...And thats all im gonna say...I agree with the 80/20 scenario but after that...I say no further west than the panhandle of FL...This trough is playing out to be a mirror image of the current one..Fl and all points east are in a serious danger zone...I am now over what I said yesterday about the proximity to SA it is far away enough now...Charley is going to rain on somebody's parade this weekend..

[Stormcenter]

Bastardi says Texas...And thats all im gonna say...I agree with the 80/20 scenario but after that...I say no further west than the panhandle of FL...This trough is playing out to be a mirror image of the current one..Fl and all points east are in a serious danger zone...I am now over what I said yesterday about the proximity to SA it is far away enough now...Charley is going to rain on somebody's parade this weekend..

What storm is he referring to Bonnie or Charlie?

[Stratosphere747]

I think he is talking about Charley...And as far as Texas...I hope not but this one could become strong enough that nobody should want it...

[Trader Ron]

It would not shock me if Charley hit Texas. We'll see..

[vbhoutex]

As we all know current progs do not bring Charley to Texas and if he gets as strong as some have progged I hope he does it in the middle of the Caribbean and then poofs(not likely). However, one thing to consider here is how strong is Charley going to get? If Charley becomes a major at CAT4 or more he could be big enough and certainly strong enough to "make his own weather". I am not saying I am expecting this, but we have seen it happen. I would like to hear from some of the pro mets on this thought.

[Steve]

Joe's late to the party. I had that out there yesterday long before he mentioned it . It's WAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAY iffy, but depending on what happens after the front kicks out Bonnie, there's a good shot for one of those old fashioned blocking highs setting up on the Northern Gulf. Where else does a strong storm go in August when it can't head poleward? West. And also, if you look at what's going on with Rananim in the WPAC, the new track out of the JTWC places it even farther south than it did yesterday (e.g., it's going to be closer to Taipei than it is to Shanghai). You have to consider downstream implications of a west moving typhoon (Cat 3 ish) and the timing. Ordinarilly you'd think 6-10 days there'd be strong ridging off the SE Coast. But because Ranaim isn't even going to peak for 3 more days (where it's heading will be WNW), I don't know that Charley fits in with that. Plus, there already is ridging over Japan after the last tropical storm moved into the southern islands.

Hey, nothing's written in stone. I'm just saying that no one should be surprised if South Texas or Northern Mexico eventually show up on some model plots. I haven't checked out Joe's videos today, so I don't know what he's thinking as far as this thread. But I'm sure it's interesting.

Steve