Tropical Storm Watch for the "ABC" islands?

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HURAKAN
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Tropical Storm Watch for the "ABC" islands?

#1 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 09, 2004 6:48 pm

If Tropical Depression 3 continues to move more toward the west than to the north, and continues to show such a large circulation, I think it will be a good idea for the "ABC" islands in the Southern Caribbean to be under a tropical storm watch. Comments?
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#2 Postby Brent » Mon Aug 09, 2004 6:50 pm

They need a warning... it's going to be passing them in a few hours.
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Derek Ortt

#3 Postby Derek Ortt » Mon Aug 09, 2004 6:55 pm

no strong winds to the south of the center; thus, no ts warnings are needed for any part of s america
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#4 Postby Dean4Storms » Mon Aug 09, 2004 7:01 pm

TD#3 will soon be entering the "zone of death" and might have outflow problems with the Mtn.s along the north coast of Venezuela.
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#5 Postby Derek Ortt » Mon Aug 09, 2004 7:05 pm

how is it a zone of death when there is optimal conditions?
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#6 Postby Dean4Storms » Mon Aug 09, 2004 7:12 pm

Seen it before, alot of speculation has gone into the fact that these Mtns. along the north coast of Venezuela have something to do with a disruption of either outflows or inflows into passing TC's to there north. But, I'm not sure that anyone has ever actually researched it or came up with a theory. Surely you've heard of this Derek?
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Derek Ortt

#7 Postby Derek Ortt » Mon Aug 09, 2004 7:21 pm

I also am quite aware of the just as many storms that have rapidly intensified in the eastern caribbean.

also, remember Joan in 1988? Intensified while OVER the 19,000 ft mountain on the north coast of Columbia
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#8 Postby Kennethb » Mon Aug 09, 2004 8:07 pm

This is the "Bermuda Triangle" of the tropics. Some pass on through, others for unexplained reasons disappear.
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#9 Postby The Dark Knight » Mon Aug 09, 2004 8:13 pm

Good point....
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#10 Postby CaluWxBill » Mon Aug 09, 2004 8:14 pm

Dean4Storms wrote:Seen it before, alot of speculation has gone into the fact that these Mtns. along the north coast of Venezuela have something to do with a disruption of either outflows or inflows into passing TC's to there north. But, I'm not sure that anyone has ever actually researched it or came up with a theory. Surely you've heard of this Derek?


Outflow boundaries from upslope tropical thunderstorms I think is a large part of the trouble.
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#11 Postby Dean4Storms » Mon Aug 09, 2004 8:24 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:I also am quite aware of the just as many storms that have rapidly intensified in the eastern caribbean.

also, remember Joan in 1988? Intensified while OVER the 19,000 ft mountain on the north coast of Columbia


Agree, I'm not saying that TD3 will succumb to the "zone of death" but wouldn't it be interesting if suddenly it did while like you said it is in impeccable conditions?

I can tell you this Derek, I'm as concerned over TD3 and where most of the speculation for it's projected path indicates it might wind up, being up here on the Gulf coast. But for now fortunately we have some time to watch it and see what transpires.
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