Cancun Radar Loop

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hurricanemike
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Cancun Radar Loop

#1 Postby hurricanemike » Mon Aug 09, 2004 12:02 am

My buddy, Tony of NWS Melbourne sent me this loop of Cancun he made:

http://mywebpages.comcast.net/wxman0071/Cancun.gif
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#2 Postby bkhusky2 » Mon Aug 09, 2004 12:03 am

Sweet loop. Do you think this thing has made it down to the surface yet?
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#3 Postby PTrackerLA » Mon Aug 09, 2004 12:05 am

Sure looks like its winding up to me :eek:
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#4 Postby MWatkins » Mon Aug 09, 2004 12:06 am

Dang...great loop. Of course it's impossible to tell if there's a surface low with radar from that far out...it definately looks like there is at least a well-established mid-level center there right between Cuba and the Yucatan.

MW
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#5 Postby hurricanemike » Mon Aug 09, 2004 12:06 am

nah...probably still aloft...850 mb and above
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#6 Postby Aquawind » Mon Aug 09, 2004 12:15 am

Nice loop.. :D
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serenity

Re: Cancun Radar Loop

#7 Postby serenity » Mon Aug 09, 2004 12:22 am

hurricanemike wrote:My buddy, Tony of NWS Melbourne sent me this loop of Cancun he made:

http://mywebpages.comcast.net/wxman0071/Cancun.gif


I know about about Tony. A really nice guy. Married not to long ago too. If you hear from him again. Will you tell him the gang at Fred's place would love to hear from him.

In case anyone is interested here is will you'll find him. Located in Brevard County.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mlb/
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DONE!!!!!!!!!

#8 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Aug 09, 2004 12:25 am

hurricanemike wrote:nah...probably still aloft...850 mb and above


I'm sorry but I think this is at least a TD is the making if not more. This is going to be a VERY interesting week to say the least. Get out the plywood GOM coastal residents just in case.
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#9 Postby southerngale » Mon Aug 09, 2004 12:26 am

Looks like at least a TD to me as well. But what do I know? ;)
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Safe bet

#10 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Aug 09, 2004 12:29 am

southerngale wrote:Looks like at least a TD to me as well. But what do I know? ;)


Don't worry I think your right. This is at least a TD.
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#11 Postby MWatkins » Mon Aug 09, 2004 12:30 am

We'll know for sure in the morning...recon will be in there around 2PM...but I think it's even money that we have something get a number before then.

MW
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#12 Postby WXBUFFJIM » Mon Aug 09, 2004 12:31 am

Yea, it's probably 850 mb on up. But with this type of setup we got, it wouldn't surprise me to see this down to the ocean surface by morning if it hasn't done so already and either be classified a depression or even a weak storm before the recon even gets out there. I think once this thing head further out into the gulf, we could potentially have a much greater chance for significant development, possibly rapid explosive development. While it's a bit early to exactly call intensity, based on the anticyclonic pattern aloft and water temps in the upper 80s, one would assume this has the makings of a significant tropical cyclone in the coming days.

We must remember though with every tropical cyclone, the intensity forecast is more difficult than the pinpointing of the projected path. We'll definitely see how this develops throughout this upcoming day.

Jim
Last edited by WXBUFFJIM on Mon Aug 09, 2004 12:33 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Matthew5

#13 Postby Matthew5 » Mon Aug 09, 2004 12:31 am

The center seems to have a hook like future to it? This thing is looking good as of this moment. I would say that this is looking good but because its radar it is a wait in see.


The system is looking better!
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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#14 Postby Aquawind » Mon Aug 09, 2004 12:53 am

Holy Cow..the donut ring is a teaser with no verified LLC.. :eek: :lol: :roll:
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Anonymous

#15 Postby Anonymous » Mon Aug 09, 2004 12:57 am

Wow that is a nice loop! You can actually see it winding up.
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#16 Postby Aquawind » Mon Aug 09, 2004 1:04 am

2am TWD.. 8-)

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
A 1013 MB LOW HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE SURFACE TROF THAT EXTENDS
FROM 20N86W THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL TO 25N84W. THIS SYSTEM
IS THE REMNANT OF T.D. TWO AND HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR
REDEVELOPMENT. RADAR IMAGES FROM CANCUN MEXICO CONFIRM THE
SATELLITE PRESENTATION WITH ROTATION NOTED IN THE YUCATAN
CHANNEL. SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE IN A LOW SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AS IT
ENTERS THE SE GULF TONIGHT. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION
COVERS THE AREA FROM 19N-23N BETWEEN 84W-88W.
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#17 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Mon Aug 09, 2004 2:00 am

Looks like a depression to me---nice loop--thanks for the link.
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#18 Postby tailgater » Mon Aug 09, 2004 5:24 am

Thanks for the radar Mike and please extend our thanks to your buddy Tony.
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#19 Postby wxman57 » Mon Aug 09, 2004 5:33 am

Looks like a TS to me. New Cancun radar continues to show that eye-like feature. Note the NHC mentins it could become a tropical CYCLONE later today, not just a depression.
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