Tropics are kicking in and we are........

#1 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Sun Aug 08, 2004 3:54 pm

getting hammered by rain again here. Invest 91 & 93 looking more and more like potential Bonnie and Charlie, too:

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurrir.html

lilbump3000 · #2 Postby **lilbump3000** » Sun Aug 08, 2004 3:55 pm

This my first time looking at 93L since this morning and it looks like it is getting its act together as well. We might have 2 systems to track this week.

Steve H. · #3 Postby **Steve H.** » Sun Aug 08, 2004 3:58 pm

possible....it would be nice if 93L would slow down a bit. Perhaps it will when it enters the Caribbean. If it does, I agree it would be a player. 91L has a circulation as well. We'll see if the environment will allow either to develop. :?:

#4 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Sun Aug 08, 2004 3:58 pm

I think you're right, bump. That "cold" front that slid down across Florida Friday and Saturday is slowly moving back north and the GOM is HOT! :eek:

Derecho · #5 Postby **Derecho** » Sun Aug 08, 2004 4:01 pm

After declining from yesterday to this morning 93L is improving a little, with actual convection near the vort center for the first time in a long time (it actually has been well east of the convection for most of the life of 93L.)

There is a mid-level vort with ex-2....no sfc circ, pressures are high, but it seems fairly likely to develop; it's just a bit further from that than the general impression now, though.

It also just vomited out an outflow boundary, which is not a good sign for quick development

#6 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Sun Aug 08, 2004 4:07 pm

Thanks for the analysis, Derecho. I hope you're right about no "quick" development. Have to fly Thursday from Tampa.

#7 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Sun Aug 08, 2004 4:27 pm

This just out:

Urban and small stream flood advisory for...

northern Citrus County in Florida.
This includes Lecanto... Crystal River... Beverly Hills...
Citronelle... Citrus Springs.

... Until 630 PM EDT.

At 513 PM EDT... National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated
rainfall rates of three inches per hour.

Do not drive your vehicle into areas where the water covers the Road.
The water depth may be too great to allow you to cross safely.
Vehicles caught in rising water should be abandoned quickly. Move to
higher ground.

Rapid rising streams will exceed their banks by up to 1 foot. This
will cause minor flooding of nearby low lying areas. Move to higher
ground.

HurricaneBill · #8 Postby **HurricaneBill** » Mon Aug 09, 2004 7:56 pm

Derecho wrote:
It also just vomited out an outflow boundary, which is not a good sign for quick development

I must admit, I've never heard that used as a weather term. :lol:

Tropics are kicking in and we are........

Tropics are kicking in and we are........

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