I found this tropical weather model map which is quite nice so I thought I would share.
http://www5.wright-weather.com/data/wxp ... t_atcf.gif
Great Tropical Model Map
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Great Tropical Model Map
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92 could be a player
Obviously, 92 doesn't look like much now. And the fact even the SHIPS model isn't doing much with it intensity wise for a while is telling. BUT, if it does manage to hold together, it could be a US player. Just look at the model tracks. We could see a FL or SE US threat eventually. When this major trough lifts out, it should leave a high pressure area in its wake off the coast of the US, which would work to steer this thing W and probably put it in a favorable environment to strengthen. It looks like longer-term HPC maps show another front coming down into the SE US a week out, and depending on where this system is or how far south that front gets, 92 could get picked up and steered out to sea, slip in under it, or stagnate in the Bahamas area.
Bottom line -- don't completely write this potential system off yet. It survived the last couple of days with no significant convection and in visible imagery today, you could clearly see a well-defined surface low.
Bottom line -- don't completely write this potential system off yet. It survived the last couple of days with no significant convection and in visible imagery today, you could clearly see a well-defined surface low.
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Thanks for the link. 
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Thanks Kat.
I think sometimes people like to pronounce something DxOxAx so they can have something to caw about down the line. No way in hell is XTD2 dead and buried. It is only in the sense that it's not TD2 anymore. With the ULL backing off out front, conditions will be pretty favorable come Sunday or Monday when the wave energy makes its way into the Gulf. There's a cold front hanging into the Gulf too. I know because my windows rattled for over an hour last night and also because there's a north wind blowing this morning. This seems to be the strongest front this summer as far as weather effects in SE LA. Gut feeling from MONDAY (ref. whereever on the web I posted it) was that this was an Eastern Gulf potential development. No telling whether or not it will, but too many ingredients are there that one of these waves or fronts is going to activate. It's 8/6/04. Come back and tell me it's dead on the 10th or 11th.
Steve
I think sometimes people like to pronounce something DxOxAx so they can have something to caw about down the line. No way in hell is XTD2 dead and buried. It is only in the sense that it's not TD2 anymore. With the ULL backing off out front, conditions will be pretty favorable come Sunday or Monday when the wave energy makes its way into the Gulf. There's a cold front hanging into the Gulf too. I know because my windows rattled for over an hour last night and also because there's a north wind blowing this morning. This seems to be the strongest front this summer as far as weather effects in SE LA. Gut feeling from MONDAY (ref. whereever on the web I posted it) was that this was an Eastern Gulf potential development. No telling whether or not it will, but too many ingredients are there that one of these waves or fronts is going to activate. It's 8/6/04. Come back and tell me it's dead on the 10th or 11th.
Steve
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