NEW MODEL RUNS FOR 91L and 92L INVEST

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
yoda
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7874
Joined: Tue Jan 13, 2004 3:51 pm
Location: Springfield VA (20 mins south of DC)
Contact:
Contact yoda

NEW MODEL RUNS FOR 91L and 92L INVEST

#1 Postby yoda » Fri Aug 06, 2004 7:58 am

(I edited the title)

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

.....THE FOLLOWING IS A TEST MESSAGE.....

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL912004) ON 20040806 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
040806 1200 040807 0000 040807 1200 040808 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 18.2N 76.1W 18.7N 77.7W 19.5N 79.5W 20.4N 81.6W
BAMM 18.2N 76.1W 18.7N 77.7W 19.3N 79.3W 20.2N 81.3W
A98E 18.2N 76.1W 19.1N 79.0W 20.1N 81.2W 21.4N 83.0W
LBAR 18.2N 76.1W 19.1N 78.1W 20.5N 79.8W 22.2N 80.9W
SHIP 25KTS 29KTS 35KTS 43KTS
DSHP 25KTS 29KTS 35KTS 43KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
040808 1200 040809 1200 040810 1200 040811 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 21.4N 83.9W 23.3N 88.1W 24.8N 90.6W 26.1N 92.0W
BAMM 21.3N 83.4W 23.6N 87.3W 25.6N 89.8W 27.4N 91.3W
A98E 23.0N 84.6W 26.1N 87.2W 28.4N 87.2W 31.4N 80.5W
LBAR 24.2N 81.5W 28.4N 80.6W 32.6N 75.2W 35.4N 66.2W
SHIP 51KTS 66KTS 74KTS 75KTS
DSHP 51KTS 60KTS 68KTS 69KTS


Website to get map of model runs since I can't post it:
http://net-waves.com/weather/model.php

BAMM AND BAMD- Texas/Louisania anyone?
A98E - Tallhasse or NW FLA anyone?
LBAR - Southwestern Part of FLA anyone? (South of Tampa)

Comments Welcome... and please post the map.

Thanks,
Matt
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
The Dark Knight
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 800
Joined: Fri Jun 18, 2004 11:18 am
Location: Mashpee, Cape Cod, MA
Contact:
Contact The Dark Knight

#2 Postby The Dark Knight » Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:02 am

Hmmmmm...... Very interesting.....
Last edited by The Dark Knight on Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:09 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
yoda
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7874
Joined: Tue Jan 13, 2004 3:51 pm
Location: Springfield VA (20 mins south of DC)
Contact:
Contact yoda

#3 Postby yoda » Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:05 am

92L

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

.....THE FOLLOWING IS A TEST MESSAGE.....

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL922004) ON 20040806 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
040806 1200 040807 0000 040807 1200 040808 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 18.0N 46.8W 19.0N 49.1W 20.5N 51.4W 22.3N 53.6W
BAMM 18.0N 46.8W 19.1N 49.8W 20.4N 52.8W 22.0N 55.4W
A98E 18.0N 46.8W 18.9N 49.7W 20.3N 52.4W 22.2N 54.7W
LBAR 18.0N 46.8W 19.1N 49.4W 20.5N 52.1W 22.1N 54.9W
SHIP 25KTS 27KTS 30KTS 33KTS
DSHP 25KTS 27KTS 30KTS 33KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
040808 1200 040809 1200 040810 1200 040811 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 23.9N 55.0W 24.1N 55.7W 21.4N 58.0W 19.0N 62.1W
BAMM 23.4N 57.5W 25.1N 58.9W 23.8N 60.1W 22.1N 62.9W
A98E 23.7N 56.8W 25.6N 59.6W 26.1N 60.2W 26.9N 59.4W
LBAR 23.2N 57.4W 25.6N 60.5W 25.6N 60.9W 24.3N 61.0W
SHIP 35KTS 37KTS 38KTS 42KTS
DSHP 35KTS 37KTS 38KTS 42KTS


The models on here.. well there are only 3? Why only 3? The UKMET is on crack IMO in this run, the A98E is the only one the keeps it going directly west... with a bit of a northerly addition to it, and the LBAR is fine, till at the last second it goes directly south. This will be interesting to watch...

Again if someone could post the map...

Thanks,
Matt
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
The Dark Knight
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 800
Joined: Fri Jun 18, 2004 11:18 am
Location: Mashpee, Cape Cod, MA
Contact:
Contact The Dark Knight

#4 Postby The Dark Knight » Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:07 am

Image
0 likes   
Top
jlauderdal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 7240
Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
Contact:
Contact jlauderdal

Re: NEW MODEL RUNS FOR 91L and 92L INVEST

#5 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:21 am

yoda wrote:(I edited the title)

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

.....THE FOLLOWING IS A TEST MESSAGE.....

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL912004) ON 20040806 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
040806 1200 040807 0000 040807 1200 040808 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 18.2N 76.1W 18.7N 77.7W 19.5N 79.5W 20.4N 81.6W
BAMM 18.2N 76.1W 18.7N 77.7W 19.3N 79.3W 20.2N 81.3W
A98E 18.2N 76.1W 19.1N 79.0W 20.1N 81.2W 21.4N 83.0W
LBAR 18.2N 76.1W 19.1N 78.1W 20.5N 79.8W 22.2N 80.9W
SHIP 25KTS 29KTS 35KTS 43KTS
DSHP 25KTS 29KTS 35KTS 43KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
040808 1200 040809 1200 040810 1200 040811 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 21.4N 83.9W 23.3N 88.1W 24.8N 90.6W 26.1N 92.0W
BAMM 21.3N 83.4W 23.6N 87.3W 25.6N 89.8W 27.4N 91.3W
A98E 23.0N 84.6W 26.1N 87.2W 28.4N 87.2W 31.4N 80.5W
LBAR 24.2N 81.5W 28.4N 80.6W 32.6N 75.2W 35.4N 66.2W
SHIP 51KTS 66KTS 74KTS 75KTS
DSHP 51KTS 60KTS 68KTS 69KTS


Website to get map of model runs since I can't post it:
http://net-waves.com/weather/model.php

BAMM AND BAMD- Texas/Louisania anyone?
A98E - Tallhasse or NW FLA anyone?
LBAR - Southwestern Part of FLA anyone? (South of Tampa)

Comments Welcome... and please post the map.

Thanks,
Matt


What linka re you using for the model runs..i was using ohio state but it is super slow...all links would be apprecieted in case one server is busy or goes down. Thanks Group.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 354 guests