10N 37W Looks Interesting

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
abajan
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4305
Age: 61
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 5:10 am
Location: Barbados

10N 37W Looks Interesting

#1 Postby abajan » Fri Aug 06, 2004 5:38 am

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GIFS/HUIR.JPG

The latest TWD mentions it in the same paragraph that discusses 92L.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148496
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#2 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 06, 2004 5:43 am

Agree abajan it looks very interesting down there SE of 92L and that area is the one a couple of days ago had all global models jumping on.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
Tip
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 325
Joined: Fri May 30, 2003 7:31 am

#3 Postby Tip » Fri Aug 06, 2004 6:27 am

I agree and believe this one will be a major player. If it is positioned in the right place when the east coast trough is waning, watch out.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Aquawind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6714
Age: 62
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 10:41 pm
Location: Salisbury, NC
Contact:
Contact Aquawind

#4 Postby Aquawind » Fri Aug 06, 2004 6:53 am

This mornings zoomed visable has and excellent rotation, circulation and inflow in the lower levels with 92L. Limited convection but persistant around the tiny core..Some shear and dry air ahead.. :roll:


The other blob had a decent qscat yesterday..good outflow from the convection and less shear along the ITCZ.. 8-)


http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastnhe.html
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
KatDaddy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2815
Joined: Mon Oct 21, 2002 6:23 pm
Location: League City, Texas

Needs to be watch in the Islands

#5 Postby KatDaddy » Fri Aug 06, 2004 7:50 am

I see signs of rotation and its headed W toward the Caribbean. It will be interesting to see if it becomes better organized today.
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
yoda
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7874
Joined: Tue Jan 13, 2004 3:51 pm
Location: Springfield VA (20 mins south of DC)
Contact:
Contact yoda

#6 Postby yoda » Fri Aug 06, 2004 7:54 am

What are we talking about here? 92L? The wave behind it?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
The Dark Knight
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 800
Joined: Fri Jun 18, 2004 11:18 am
Location: Mashpee, Cape Cod, MA
Contact:
Contact The Dark Knight

#7 Postby The Dark Knight » Fri Aug 06, 2004 7:59 am

We'll see.....
0 likes   
Top
Tip
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 325
Joined: Fri May 30, 2003 7:31 am

#8 Postby Tip » Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:04 am

I was talking about the wave underneath 92L. Here's a pic of the two in tandem.

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/cgi-bin ... .cgi?vis-e

From this shot, 92L is quite small.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
The Dark Knight
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 800
Joined: Fri Jun 18, 2004 11:18 am
Location: Mashpee, Cape Cod, MA
Contact:
Contact The Dark Knight

#9 Postby The Dark Knight » Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:05 am

Hmmmm........
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Aquawind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6714
Age: 62
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 10:41 pm
Location: Salisbury, NC
Contact:
Contact Aquawind

#10 Postby Aquawind » Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:06 am

The Dark Knight wrote:Hmmmm........


lol ya see something interesting there? :lol: 8-)
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
yoda
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7874
Joined: Tue Jan 13, 2004 3:51 pm
Location: Springfield VA (20 mins south of DC)
Contact:
Contact yoda

#11 Postby yoda » Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:07 am

Tip wrote:I was talking about the wave underneath 92L. Here's a pic of the two in tandem.

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/cgi-bin ... .cgi?vis-e

From this shot, 92L is quite small.


It may be small, but it appears tightly compacted. Does it have an LLC with it?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
The Dark Knight
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 800
Joined: Fri Jun 18, 2004 11:18 am
Location: Mashpee, Cape Cod, MA
Contact:
Contact The Dark Knight

#12 Postby The Dark Knight » Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:10 am

Maybe........
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
jabber
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 688
Joined: Mon Mar 24, 2003 5:36 pm
Location: Raleigh, NC (former Boynton Beach, Fl)

#13 Postby jabber » Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:13 am

yoda wrote:
Tip wrote:I was talking about the wave underneath 92L. Here's a pic of the two in tandem.

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/cgi-bin ... .cgi?vis-e

From this shot, 92L is quite small.


It may be small, but it appears tightly compacted. Does it have an LLC with it?


Not a perfect LLC but appears to be getting its act togather

http://orbit212.wwb.noaa.gov/storm_at_i ... _at_2.html[/img]
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hyperstorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1500
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 3:48 am
Location: Ocala, FL

#14 Postby Hyperstorm » Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:28 am

Reminds me of TS Ernesto in 2000 in terms of structure, potential development and same general area. The system quickly became a TD and TS only to be sheared apart as soon as it got its act together.....or TD 7 in 2002 if conditions remain as unfavorable as they are now. The most I see this developing is a TS and a weak one at that. The only way this (92L) could become a hurricane as SHIPS is forecasting and moves westward north of the islands is for the trough NE of Puerto Rico to close off into an Upper Low and move west. Otherwise, if it stays as the trough-like feature it is, don't expect much development.....
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wx247
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 14279
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
Location: Monett, Missouri
Contact:
Contact wx247

#15 Postby wx247 » Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:47 am

Hyperstorm wrote:Reminds me of TS Ernesto in 2000 in terms of structure, potential development and same general area. The system quickly became a TD and TS only to be sheared apart as soon as it got its act together.....or TD 7 in 2002 if conditions remain as unfavorable as they are now. The most I see this developing is a TS and a weak one at that. The only way this (92L) could become a hurricane as SHIPS is forecasting and moves westward north of the islands is for the trough NE of Puerto Rico to close off into an Upper Low and move west. Otherwise, if it stays as the trough-like feature it is, don't expect much development.....


Are you referring to the area of interest or 92L?
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
The Dark Knight
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 800
Joined: Fri Jun 18, 2004 11:18 am
Location: Mashpee, Cape Cod, MA
Contact:
Contact The Dark Knight

#16 Postby The Dark Knight » Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:52 am

Hopefully, SOMETHING will develop out of any of these storms...!!!!
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google Adsense [Bot] and 418 guests