Looking at the latest update on Hurricane Alex shows the center located near latitude 41.7 north, longitude 57.6 west or about 410 miles southwest of Cape Race, NewFounderLand. Movement is toward the east northeast at 35 mph and this motion with an increase in forward speed is expected to continue over the next 24 hours. Maximum sustained winds are now up to 120 mph with higher gusts and minimum central pressure is 957 mb or 28.26 inches.
Looking at recent satellite images of Alex shows Alex has peaked and is perhaps showing the beginnings of a weakening trend as the hurricane is moving north of 42 degrees north and east of 60 degrees west. As a result of this, Alex is encountering colder waters and by 5 PM it should begin to weaken. The first signs of this weakening trend are the cloud tops are waming around the circulation center. In addition there is a low stratus deck developing inside the eye of the hurricane, which suggest weakening. Over the next few days, wind fields around this system will broaden as wind speeds drop. The next area impacted by the remnants of Alex could be in parts of western Europe as a possible gale center by later this weekend or into early next week. However some models show the remnants of Alex curving southward through the eastern Atlantic Basin. This presents potentially a whole new set of circumstances if this happens as a loop around clockwise is a possibility.
Elsewhere in the tropics, we focus on the eastern Caribbean once again as a very strong tropical wave has reignited once again. A look at this system reveals that it doesn't have a low level circulation. Instead it has a sharp wind shift line and is being considered a very strong tropical wave at this point. Winds are light across all of the Caribbean Islands today. However wind gusts with this tropical wave maybe 35-45 mph at times. A powerful wave at this point as it continues to head west northwestward through the open waters of the Caribbean. This will continue to be watched for signs of development.
Jim
Tropical Wave and Hurricane Alex, tracks very interesting
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Tropical Wave and Hurricane Alex, tracks very interesting
Last edited by WXBUFFJIM on Thu Aug 05, 2004 1:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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