latest model plots

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Weatherboy1
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latest model plots

#1 Postby Weatherboy1 » Mon Aug 02, 2004 2:08 pm

The latest 1800 UTC tropical models continue the trend of shifting northward. Part of this is recent motion -- the system is moving WNW not W any more. But I imagine the models are responding to the forecasted east coast trough as well. Too early to say where this thing ends up, as I've posted elsewhere, but I thought you all would appreciate seeing the model plots in graphical format. You can also see the latest GFDL run, as well as the latest UKMET forecast track of 92L (the wave behind 91, which the UKMET sees as a fish)

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lilbump3000
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#2 Postby lilbump3000 » Mon Aug 02, 2004 2:09 pm

Seems like bonnie might finish what alex is starting.
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#3 Postby yoda » Mon Aug 02, 2004 2:11 pm

Um.. can I have the website? the image is not showing up... :roll:
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#4 Postby lilbump3000 » Mon Aug 02, 2004 2:12 pm

Heres a better image of it.

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#5 Postby yoda » Mon Aug 02, 2004 2:13 pm

ah thanks lilbump!
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#6 Postby Aquawind » Mon Aug 02, 2004 2:13 pm

Icky..take it away!! :roll:
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#7 Postby yoda » Mon Aug 02, 2004 2:14 pm

Why is that Aquawind? :roll: :?: :D
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here's the link ...

#8 Postby Weatherboy1 » Mon Aug 02, 2004 2:14 pm

I go to this site, enter the invest number or storm name, and then call up the plots that way. Enjoy ...

http://net-waves.com/weather/modelplot.htm
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#9 Postby yoda » Mon Aug 02, 2004 2:15 pm

WOW!! Thanks WeatherBoy for that GREAT site!! :D
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#10 Postby Aquawind » Mon Aug 02, 2004 2:16 pm

Landfall..never a pretty site.. :wink:
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#11 Postby yoda » Mon Aug 02, 2004 2:17 pm

lilbump3000 wrote:Heres a better image of it.

Image


Hmmm well that is interesting. Almost every model there takes it NW past the Puerto Rico area... hmm will be interesting to see where it goes from there...
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#12 Postby Valkhorn » Mon Aug 02, 2004 2:38 pm

From what I can see I think the GFDL is out to lunch, and well we know what to do with the LBAR *pulls out the rubbish bin*

But at any rate the three in the middle are tightly together, and so I think as it develops more we'll have a better idea of where it heads.

However if I was in PR or Hispaniola I'd definately be watching this - even those in the middle to northern Lesser Antilles should be keeping an even closer eye on it. A hit in that area seems to be a big possibility anyways.
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#13 Postby yoda » Mon Aug 02, 2004 2:40 pm

Yes I would. I can't wait to see what the models in the coming days do with Bonnie. Will they curve it out do to trough? Or will it hit the East Coast?
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#14 Postby wx247 » Mon Aug 02, 2004 2:43 pm

Yep... definitely a heads up in Puerto Rico and the US/British Virgin Islands. I do agree that the GFDL takes this NW too quickly.
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#15 Postby yoda » Mon Aug 02, 2004 2:45 pm

Correct. GFDL is thrown out, and LBAR, well, never mind that. I will take the consensus of the models that have it in the middle of the road.
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#16 Postby lilbump3000 » Mon Aug 02, 2004 2:48 pm

It all depends on how fast it develops. The quicker it develop the more of a chance it will go to the NW quicker. The longer it takes to develop, the more of a W track it will take.
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