Aug 1 and storms brought to you by the letter A

[senorpepr]

First name down... Alex. Up next is Bonnie, Charley, and Danielle.

Below is a breakdown of what storms were active on Aug 1 between 1954
and 2003. (Note: storm numbers in parenthesis had been finalled out by
NHC prior to Aug 1) If applicable, there is a listing of what date the
"A" storm developed on. At the end the list is the 50 year average ('54-'03).

Please Note: Number represents the number of storms (excluding
subtropical storms) thus far in the season. The start dates of the
A-storm are when these systems were tropical depressions.

Active Storms on August 1, followed by the date the A-storm formed.

03 (4); Apr 18
02 (1); Jul 14
01 (1); Jun 05
00 (0); Aug 03
99 (1); Jun 11
98 1; Jul 27
97 (4); Jun 30
96 (3); Jun 17
95 4, 5; Jun 03
94 (1); Jun 30
93 (1); Jun 18
92 (0); Aug 16
91 (1); Jun 29
90 2, 3; Jul 22
89 3, 4; Jun 24
88 (0); Aug 05
87 (0); Aug 08
86 (2); Jun 05
85 (2); Jul 15
84 (0); Aug 28
83 (0); Aug 15
82 (1); Jun 02
81 (2); May 06
80 1; Jul 31
79 (3); Jun 19
78 1; Jul 30
77 (0); Aug 29
76 1; Jul 28
75 (2); Jun 27
74 (0); Aug 12
73 (1); Jul 01
72 (1); Jul 14
71 (1); Jul 04
70 3; May 17
69 1; Jul 25
68 (3); Jun 01
67 (0); Aug 28
66 (5); Jun 04
65 (0); Aug 21
64 (0); Aug 05
63 1; Jul 31
62 (0); Aug 26
61 (1); Jul 20
60 2; Jul 10
59 (4); May 28
58 (1); Jun 14
57 (1); Jun 25
56 (1); Jul 25
55 2; Dec 30, 1954
54 (2); Jun 24

====
Average # of TS on Aug 1: 01.50 ('04: behind average by 0.50 TSs)
Average Date for A-storm*: Jul 04 ('04: behind schedule by 28 days)

* A-storm occurred 100.0% of the time in the past 50 years.

Note: The following "30-yr averages" encompass the years 2003-1974

TS YTD vs 30yr Seasonal Average: 1 vs 9.97 (-8.97)
HR YTD vs 30yr Seasonal Average: 0 vs 5.83 (-5.83)
MHR YTD vs 30yr Seasonal Average: 0 vs 2.20 (-2.20)

[Hurricanehink]

Nice job as always, though seeing B would be a little better It's interesting how many years still didn't have a storm; 8!

[senorpepr]

Nice job as always, though seeing B would be a little better It's interesting how many years still didn't have a storm; 8!

Give it time... give it time. I have a feeling I'll be posting that shortly.

[senorpepr]

Here's a quick little summary of "A" storms during the past 30 years. Feel free to post more if you'd like.

2003 Tropical Storm Ana (April storm)
2002 Tropical Storm Arthur (Hit Newfoundland)
2001 Tropical Storm Allison* (Dumped rain along US Gulf Coast)
2000 Hurricane (3) Alberto (Late blooming fish)
1999 Tropical Storm Arlene (Fish)
1998 Tropical Storm Alex (Uneventful)
1997 Tropical Storm Ana (Uneventful)
1996 Tropical Storm Arthur (Brushed NC Coast)
1995 Hurricane (1) Allison (Brushed Yucatan; hit US SE Coast)
1994 Tropical Storm Alberto (Hit FL, AL, GA)
1993 Tropical Storm Arlene (Hit S TX)
1992 Super Hurricane (5) Andrew* (We remember that storm - Bahamas, SE US)
1991 Tropical Storm Ana (Hit FL)
1990 Tropical Storm Arthur (Tracked through the Bahamas)
1989 Tropical Storm Allison (Hit E TX)
1988 Tropical Storm Alberto (Tracked along US E Coast; Hit Nova Scotia &
Newfoundland)
1987 Hurricane (1) Arlene (Very odd track; formed off of SC, hit Bahamas,
Portugal, Spain)
1986 Tropical Storm Andrew (Tracked along US E Coast)
1985 Tropical Storm Ana (Hit Newfoundland)
1984 Tropical Storm Arthur (Skirted the windward Is.)
1983 Hurricane (3) Alicia* (Hit TX)
1982 Hurricane (1) Alberto (Formed off Yucatan, stayed in GOM; weakened before hitting FL)
1981 Tropical Storm Arlene (Hit Cuba, Bahamas)
1980 Super Hurricane (5) Allen* (Reached Cat 5 three times, hit Lesser/Greater Antillies, Yucatan, TX)
1979 Tropical Storm Ana (Hit windward Is.)
1978 Tropical Storm Amelia (Hit TX)
1977 Super Hurricane (5) Anita* (Hit N Mexico)
1976 Tropical Storm Anna (Fish)
1975 Tropical Storm Amy (Brushed Carolinas)
1974 Tropical Storm Alma (hit Venezuela)
1973 Hurricane (1) Alice (hit Newfoundland)
1972 Hurricane (1) Agnes (hit W FL)
1971 Tropical Storm Arlene (Brushed NC and Newfoundland)
1970 Hurricane (1) Alma (Brushed Cntrl America, Hit Cuba, FL)
1969 Tropical Storm Anna (Neared NC)
1968 Hurricane (1) Abby (Hit Cuba, FL, GA)
1967 Hurricane (1) Arlene (Fish)
1966 Hurricane (3) Alma (Hit Cntrl America, Cuba, FL, GA, SC, RI, MA)
1965 Hurricane (1) Anna (Fish)
1964 Tropical Storm Abby (Hit TX)
1963 Hurricane (2) Arlene (Hit Bermuda)
1962 Hurricane (2) Alma (Hit FL, Skirted NC, MA)
1961 Hurricane (3) Anna (Hit Srn Windward Is, Cntrl America)
1960 Hurricane (2) Abby (Hit Cntrl Windward Is, Cntrl America)
1959 Tropical Storm Arlene (Hit LA)
1958 Tropical Storm Alma (Hit Nrn Mexico)
1957 Hurricane (4) Audrey* (Hit TX/LA border)
1956 Hurricane (1) Anna (Hit Mexico)
1955 Hurricane (1) Alice (Hit Nrn Windward Is., formed Dec 30, 1954)
1954 Hurricane (1) Alice (Hit Nrn Mexico)

"A" names in the past...
46% became category one hurricanes
22% became category two hurricanes
16% became category three hurricanes
08% became category four hurricanes
06% became category five hurricanes

(Names with asterisk denotes retired name)

[SacrydDreamz]

Andrew was a cat 5

[USAwx1]

Excellent research Senor! great read.

[senorpepr]

Andrew was a cat 5

I have no clue why that slipped my mind, but you're correct. I've adjusted that message to reflect category five status.

[senorpepr]

Excellent research Senor! great read.

Thanks. It was something I started doing last season. It gets kinda neat midway through the season.

[USAwx1]

Excellent research Senor! great read.

Thanks. It was something I started doing last season. It gets kinda neat midway through the season.

Yeah, I completely agree. It is very interesting. You should do the E and F storms to see what became of those when you get a chance.

[senorpepr]

Yeah, I completely agree. It is very interesting. You should do the E and F storms to see what became of those when you get a chance.

I actually was compiling the list for the rest of the alphabet. I went ahead and finished through F for now, but I'll probably work on the rest over the next few days. Regardless, I'll post each letter as they are used this season.

Nonetheless, here's what has happened to E and F storms since 1974...

2003 Hurricane (1) Erika (Hit N Mexico)
2002 Tropical Storm Edouard (Hit FL)
2001 Hurricane (3) Erin (Skirted Bermuda, Newfoundland, Hit Greenland)
2000 Tropical Storm Ernesto (Fish)
1999 Tropical Storm Emily (Fish)
1998 Hurricane (2) Earl (Hit SE US, Newfoundland)
1997 Hurricane (3) Erika (Fish)
1996 Hurricane (4) Edouard (Fish)
1995 Hurricane (1) Erin (Hit Bahamas, FL, AL, MS)
1994 Tropical Storm Ernesto (Fish)
1993 Hurricane (3) Emily (Skirted Mid-Atl States)
1992 Tropical Storm Earl (Sargasso Sea)
1991 Tropical Storm Erika (Hit Azores)
1990 Tropical Storm Edouard (Hit Azores)
1989 Hurricane (2) Erin (Fish)
1988 Tropical Storm Ernesto (Fish)
1987 Hurricane (3) Emily (Hit Lesser/Greater Antilles, Bermuda)
1986 Hurricane (2) Earl (Fish)
1985 Hurricane (3) Elena* (Hit Cuba, Skirted FL, AL, Hit MS, LA)
1984 Tropical Storm Edouard (Bay of Campeche)
1983 None
1982 Tropical Storm Ernesto (Fish)
1981 Hurricane (1) Emily (Hit Bermuda)
1980 Hurricane (1) Earl (Fish)
1979 Tropical Storm Elena (Hit TX)
1978 Hurricane (4) Ella (Skirted Newfoundland)
1977 Hurricane (1) Evelyn (Hit Nova Scotia, Newfoundland)
1976 Hurricane (2) Emmy (Hit Azores)
1975 Hurricane (3) Eloise* (Hit Greater Antilles, Yucatan, FL, AL)
1974 Tropical Storm Elaine (Fish)

"E" names in the past...
60.0% became category one hurricanes
40.0% became category two hurricanes
23.3% became category three hurricanes
06.7% became category four hurricanes
00.0% became category five hurricanes

(Names with asterisk denotes retired name)

2003 Hurricane (4) Fabian* (Hit Bermuda)
2002 Tropical Storm Fay (Hit TX)
2001 Hurricane (3) Felix (Fish)
2000 Hurricane (1) Florence (Skirted Bermuda)
1999 Super Hurricane (4) Floyd* (Hit Bahamas, Mid-Atl States, Nova Scotia, Newfoundland)
1998 Tropical Storm Frances (Hit TX)
1997 Tropical Storm Fabian (Fish)
1996 Hurricane (3) Fran* (Hit NC/SC Border)
1995 Hurricane (4) Felix (Hit Bermuda)
1994 Hurricane (2) Florence (Fish)
1993 Hurricane (1) Floyd (Hit France)
1992 Hurricane (1) Frances (Fish, Hit Spain)
1991 Tropical Storm Fabian (Hit Cuba, Skirted FL, Hit Bahamas)
1990 Tropical Storm Fran (Hit Venezuela)
1989 Hurricane (1) Felix (Fish)
1988 Hurricane (1) Florence (Hit LA/MS Border)
1987 Hurricane (1) Floyd (Hit Cuba, FL, Bahamas)
1986 Hurricane (1) Frances (Fish)
1985 Tropical Storm Fabian (Fish)
1984 Tropical Storm Fran (Fish)
1983 None
1982 None
1981 Hurricane (3) Floyd (Hit Nrn Lesser Antilles)
1980 Hurricane (3) Frances (Fish)
1979 Hurricane (4) Frederic* (Hit Lesser/Greater Antilles, MS/AL Border)
1978 Hurricane (2) Flossie (Fish)
1977 Tropical Storm Frieda (Hit Belize)
1976 Hurricane (3) Frances (Hit Azores)
1975 Hurricane (2) Faye (Hit Bermuda)
1974 Hurricane (2) Fifi (Hit Central America)

"F" names in the past...
66.7% became category one hurricanes
43.3% became category two hurricanes
30.0% became category three hurricanes
10.0% became category four hurricanes
00.0% became category five hurricanes

(Names with asterisk denotes retired name)

[HurricaneBill]

Did you know that Hurricane Cleo in 1964 is the only "C" storm to ever strike Florida?

[senorpepr]

Did you know that Hurricane Cleo in 1964 is the only "C" storm to ever strike Florida?

Wow -- I did not. Thanks for the fact!

[senorpepr]

Excellent research Senor! great read.

Thanks. It was something I started doing last season. It gets kinda neat midway through the season.

Although, USAwx1, I should say that if we have an active season like last year, these posts because a bit data-sparse with the lack of lower-lettered storms.

[senorpepr]

Bump to update with a 1954-2003 data set.

Average number of storms by Aug 1 didn't change, but the average A-storm date moved 4 days earlier.

[senorpepr]

Note that I left the bottom YTD vs average as a 30-year data set to conform with climatological standards.

All other averages are 50-year.

[bahamaswx]

Did you know that Hurricane Cleo in 1964 is the only "C" storm to ever strike Florida?

Not anymore. =/