Future vertical shear hinders further development!

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Future vertical shear hinders further development!

#1 Postby Guest » Sun Aug 01, 2004 10:32 pm

Sorry peoples it looks like Alex will be a not so intense TS...

VERTICAL SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE FROM THE
SOUTHWEST AND ESSENTIALLY CAP THE INTENSIFICATION PROCESS.

Well there is always the next system, which looks good.
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#2 Postby Stormchaser16 » Sun Aug 01, 2004 10:33 pm

NICE try.......

It says AFTER 48 hours!!
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#3 Postby Wnghs2007 » Sun Aug 01, 2004 10:35 pm

After 36 hrs or so that may be true. But before then Signifigant Intensification is possible as indicated by 11PM Disscussion

11PM Tropical Storm Alex Discussion wrote:SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING COULD OCCUR MONDAY AND MONDAY
NIGHT AS ALEX BEGINS TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AND PASSES OVER THE
GULFSTREAM UNDER DECREASING VERTICAL SHEAR.
Last edited by Wnghs2007 on Sun Aug 01, 2004 10:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#4 Postby Guest » Sun Aug 01, 2004 10:35 pm

Okay the way it's moving Alex, might not get so intense in the next 48 hours. At least not Hurricane strength
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#5 Postby The Dark Knight » Sun Aug 01, 2004 10:35 pm

Ha, nice try..... Can't fool us...LOL
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#6 Postby MGC » Sun Aug 01, 2004 10:37 pm

Until the convection wraps or the center relocates near the convection Alex will not do much.....MGC
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#7 Postby Stormchaser16 » Sun Aug 01, 2004 10:39 pm

Well gee lets see-------- the center has been moving progressively closer to the main convection all day... and is now almost/if not already underneath it... the next 48 hours could hold quite a bit of intensification for Alex....... STORMCHASER16
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#8 Postby Wnghs2007 » Sun Aug 01, 2004 10:39 pm

MGC wrote:Until the convection wraps or the center relocates near the convection Alex will not do much.....MGC



The center now has to be over land for it not to be wraped into the convection.


Image
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#9 Postby Stormchaser16 » Sun Aug 01, 2004 10:41 pm

That northern lobe that extends out from the main circular convection is about where the LLC is to my understanding at least
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