Gulf Of Mexico

[chadtm80]

What is everyones thoughst on the GOM this afternoon??



http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[lilbump3000]

I think it needs to be watched. With all them thunderstorms due to the help of our new tropical storm something might try to get going down there.

[Stormchaser16]

Extremely juicy, though like i mentioned before, alot of it has to do with increased outflow from alex combined with afternoon thunderstorms (heating) over Florida. If this continues though to feed into the remnants of 90L then it may become something of its own entity.

[rainstorm]

possible development before hitting mex/so tex

[rbaker]

beleive that intial low in w gulf is about status quo, however, it looks like a trough stretching from our ts alex across central fl sw into gulf, this could be an area to look for development in next couple days

[Lindaloo]

I agree, this is something to watch.

[ColdFront77]

I also think it has potential. The low pressure that moved through the Caribbean into the Gulf of Mexico is in the vinicity.

There usually isn't this sort of flare up in the Gulf during the afternoon seabreeze interactions across the peninsula. The
overnight activity over the those waters and even off the Florida east coast isn't this impressive.

Temperature here is 82°F, while the dewpoint temperature is 81°F!

[Stormchaser16]

Agree Rbaker- hey this hasnt happened in awhile lol...

anyway, if Alex doesnt pull away to quick then this trough stretching from it will likely continue to feed moisture into a very heated GOM, where i wouldnt be surprised to see something try to form here

[ColdFront77]

possible development before hitting mex/so tex

The activity is moving more northerly across Florida. Disorganization would occur before organization with the convection in the GOM if that were to occur.

[vacanechaser]

possible development before hitting mex/so tex

The activity is moving more northerly across Florida. Disorganization would occur before organization with the convection in the GOM if that were to occur.

good call coldfront77 ... i agree.. all you have to do is look at the radar in the area.. i think 90L is done... besides,,, it is running out of time... there really are no signs of the low in the gulf organizing...

[Aquawind]

beleive that intial low in w gulf is about status quo, however, it looks like a trough stretching from our ts alex across central fl sw into gulf, this could be an area to look for development in next couple days

Yep..low pressure over water..in august..worthy of keeping an eye on alrighty..

[Stormchaser16]

Vacanechaser- Lower pressures and abundant moisture in the GOM is nothing to sneeze at, especially since its being fed so much by Alex

[ColdFront77]

Thank you, Jesse. Although (IMO) the potential for development does exist with this setup. Rainstorm said that it will move toward Mexico/Texas,
as I mentioned that would mean it will remain disorganized.

The activity is actually moving more eastern across central and southern Florida, oppposed to northward like it was yesterday and is expected to
today and during the upcoming week.

[vbhoutex]

It is definitely something to watch. I probably won't have anything to do with 90L even though there are storms firing near its center. But if Alex leaves enough behiind we could wind oup with a cut off to deal with.

[Brent]

WHOA!

*sounds alarm*



Needs to remain that way though, not flare up and down.

[corpusbreeze]

Loaded with moisture, but the mian low will be moving into Mexico tomorrow, end of story. Maybe some left over moisture go spure something later in the week. This baby just could not get off the ground.

[KatDaddy]

Once Alex moves NE the door for homegrown development could occur
The GOM is very warm. Once the ridge which is part of a High weakens it could move N toward the N Central GOM. Currently its feeding into Alex which is about to take off.

[MGC]

No development in the short term. But, if the low hangs around a few more days......MGC

[Hurricanehink]

Wow, not bad today. Not too impressive right now, but it has some time. You never know.

[Agua]

Those two waves east of the windward islands have me a little unnerved at the moment, particularly 91L. Its low-lattitude position and westerly movement looks setup for potential GOM appearance a couple weeks down the road.

Note I have NO weather analysis skills whatsoever, it's just the position of the thing along with it's present direction of movement that has me a feeling a little unneasy.

Unlike a lot of folks here, I do NOT want one of those things coming to me. They're terrifying and terribly destructive.

I'd really like for wxman57 or AirForceMet to tell me why 91L isn't going to develop or is going to recurve such that I have nothing to worry about.