Shoot me if I'm wrong but...

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Stormcenter
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Shoot me if I'm wrong but...

#1 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Jul 30, 2004 4:21 pm

O.K. shoot me :oops: if I'm wrong but what everyone has been saying is a the center of 90L has becoming more and more broad as it moves westward with little or no convection. While the convection off the tip of Cuba and Yucatan has been building and becoming more concentrated.
While moving very little. Is there a CHANCE a new area low pressure may be forming in that location?



http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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Re: Shoot me if I'm wrong but...

#2 Postby Air Force Met » Fri Jul 30, 2004 4:23 pm

Stormcenter wrote:O.K. shoot me :oops: if I'm wrong but what everyone has been saying is a the center of 90L has becoming more and more broad as it moves westward with little or no convection. While the convection off the tip of Cuba and Yucatan has been building and becoming more concentrated.
While moving very little. Is there a CHANCE a new area low pressure may be forming in that location?



http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html


Doubtful a new center would form...the existing one is pretty well defined. What could happen...and probably would...is if that convection hung around long enough...like 18+hours...is that the existing center could drift in that direction.
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Re: Shoot me if I'm wrong but...

#3 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Jul 30, 2004 4:27 pm

Air Force Met wrote:
Stormcenter wrote:O.K. shoot me :oops: if I'm wrong but what everyone has been saying is a the center of 90L has becoming more and more broad as it moves westward with little or no convection. While the convection off the tip of Cuba and Yucatan has been building and becoming more concentrated.
While moving very little. Is there a CHANCE a new area low pressure may be forming in that location?



http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html


Doubtful a new center would form...the existing one is pretty well defined. What could happen...and probably would...is if that convection hung around long enough...like 18+hours...is that the existing center could drift in that direction.


Thanks again Air Force One.
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#4 Postby vacanechaser » Fri Jul 30, 2004 4:31 pm

see the low level clouds streaming in from the south.. notice how they are moving northwest... if there was a low there, they would be moving northeast... yes it is possible for one to develop, but there is nothing there to be concerned with right now.... it is just some showers and storms... nothing else...
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It's is.....

#5 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Jul 30, 2004 4:51 pm

You must say the whole area in the Yucatan channel and lower SE GOM does look interesting? I'm curious to see if this area will go POOF later tonight.
As to the center moving west it just at the moment does not look promising but yeah I know things can changeso we'll see.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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Rainband

#6 Postby Rainband » Fri Jul 30, 2004 4:52 pm

Our local Met and he is very good said the GOM system has slim to NO chances of development. As for the Bahamas system Landfall tommorow night late as A depression maybe even a storm!! :eek:
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#7 Postby Steve » Fri Jul 30, 2004 4:55 pm

>>Our local Met and he is very good said the GOM system has slim to NO chances of development. As for the Bahamas system Landfall tommorow night late as A depression maybe even a storm!!

Assuming that's not Jason Kelly, I'd take that bed with odds. But only for big money. Pass that on to him for me, ya hea'?

Steve
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Rainband

#8 Postby Rainband » Fri Jul 30, 2004 4:57 pm

Dennis philips and like I said he is very good when all the other OCMs are honking for ratings he tells it like it is. I would bet Money on it. :D
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Rainband

#9 Postby Rainband » Fri Jul 30, 2004 4:57 pm

Time will tell
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