99L INVEST UP FOR WEST ATLANTIC

[cycloneye]

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

But still no image for where it may be however I suspect it is for the west atlantic area east of Bahamas.

[chadtm80]

Ya, no doubt Luis.. When I woke up this morning and saw that area I knew they would release an Invest.. Lets get this thing going

[Thunder44]

There should be invests for both of them, if they really believe they both have a chance at development.

[cycloneye]

There should be invests for both of them, if they really believe they both have a chance at development.

Dont discount that 90L also may pop up.

[cycloneye]

http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi

For east of Bahamas area as first images go up.

[chadtm80]

If we see some more convection fire up throught the day on our other AOI.. Then you will see another invest go up.. Not any sooner, not any later

[Thunder44]

There should be invests for both of them, if they really believe they both have a chance at development.

Dont discount that 90L also may pop up.

I suspect so.

[Brent]

YAY!!!!!!!

What's the future track of the system?

[Swimdude]

What's the future track of the system?

If you're refering to the cluster East of the Bahamas, I read it's headed towards the Carolinas by Saturday.

[FWBHurricane]

I agree that this system looks really good, developing a good spin and everything. But i looked at the latest water vapor loop and alot of dry air is comming down infront of it, and its trying to get into the circulation. I think it might develop into something small, but it will have to do it soon before the dry air hits the center of circulation. ( Wherever that is... )

Water Vapor Loop- http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[yoda]

After looking at the water loop, I have seen a few things. One, the cold front that is supposed to have washed out, is still lingering along the East Coast. The thunderstorms for this invest are developing, but there are no where near what looks to be the center of circulation. However, on the last few frames, if one watches closely enough, you can detect a slight spin in the invest. Also, what will that trough/cold front do with this system? It could have a major role on where this system goes.

I hope I am reading this all right and feel free to correct me if I am wrong, which I probably am.

[vbhoutex]

As FWB stated, the immediate concern as far as further development with the ATL system is the dry air trying to entrain to the center and it appears to be doing a pretty good job of it. Of note however is the fact that it is not a huge area of dry air so the disruption may be short lived. And even though there is a spin to the sustem it still has to make it to the surface and concentrate more around the circulation center before anything pops out there. Without detailed study of both systems(GOM and ATL)I give ATL the better chance and that is not just based on an Invest being issued. It just seems to have a lot less in the way of disruptive weather patterns close to it. I would expect we will see some development of the GOM system but it will be slow to occur and I do not expect anything more than a rainmaker out of it at this point.

[yoda]

Grr.. dry air!

[Anonymous]

What's the future track of the system?

If you're refering to the cluster East of the Bahamas, I read it's headed towards the Carolinas by Saturday.

I am going to kill them ! That is, the National Weather Service ! The official forecast right now only has a 20 % chance of rain in this area tomorrow !! How dare they issue such a mere chance of precip tomorrow in light of a disturbance in the Bahams heading WNW ? It's got to be better than that.............

[yoda]

the disturbance won't be there for like the next 72-96 hours...